ATL: IAN - Models
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
AutoPenalti
- Category 5
- Posts: 4029
- Age: 28
- Joined: Mon Aug 17, 2015 4:16 pm
- Location: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Trough lifting up faster this run, SW of 06z.
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
-
toad strangler
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4543
- Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
- Location: Earth
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
trough out and ridge building back in again. Another trap it looks like.
0 likes
My Weather Station
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
-
InfernoFlameCat
- Category 5
- Posts: 2102
- Age: 22
- Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
- Location: Buford, GA
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Future storm is now further west and makes landfall in western Cuba in the low 940s.
0 likes
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
-
InfernoFlameCat
- Category 5
- Posts: 2102
- Age: 22
- Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
- Location: Buford, GA
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
942mb storm in the low gulf 
. Gfs going crazy.
. Gfs going crazy.
0 likes
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
-
InfernoFlameCat
- Category 5
- Posts: 2102
- Age: 22
- Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
- Location: Buford, GA
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
I think this is going to be the first Cat 5 run.
0 likes
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
-
AutoPenalti
- Category 5
- Posts: 4029
- Age: 28
- Joined: Mon Aug 17, 2015 4:16 pm
- Location: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Here comes the North turn.
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
-
SunnyThoughts
- Category 5
- Posts: 2263
- Joined: Wed Jul 09, 2003 12:42 pm
- Location: Pensacola, Florida
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
InfernoFlameCat wrote:I think this is going to be the first Cat 5 run.
The farther west, more time over water for sure. I hope not.
1 likes
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9279
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
InfernoFlameCat wrote:942mb storm in the low gulf
I'm predicting 920s-900s at peak.
2 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
skyline385
- Category 5
- Posts: 2728
- Age: 34
- Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
- Location: Houston TX
-
toad strangler
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4543
- Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
- Location: Earth
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
absolutely TRAPPED.
0 likes
My Weather Station
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
-
skyline385
- Category 5
- Posts: 2728
- Age: 34
- Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
- Location: Houston TX
ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Also in case anyone missed it, 98L already has an elongated circulation so it could possibly develop ahead of schedule
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
3 likes
-
InfernoFlameCat
- Category 5
- Posts: 2102
- Age: 22
- Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
- Location: Buford, GA
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Oh man. 932mb in the gulf. Except this is no phantom.
1 likes
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
skyline385 wrote:Also in case anyone missed it, 98L already has an elongated circulation so it could possibly develop ahead of schedule
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Are we seeing the familiar stronger = earlier turn north dynamic. Because if so, early strengthening could be a saving grace for the western Caribbean and possibly the US as well.
1 likes
-
skyline385
- Category 5
- Posts: 2728
- Age: 34
- Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
- Location: Houston TX
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Think it’s getting eroded by the front when trapped, we saw it in a previous run too where it then rapidly weakened to landfall
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
0 likes
-
toad strangler
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4543
- Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
- Location: Earth
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Heading for the mid panhandle. 
0 likes
My Weather Station
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KFLPORTS603
-
InfernoFlameCat
- Category 5
- Posts: 2102
- Age: 22
- Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
- Location: Buford, GA
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Slams into the Florida Panhandle. In the same spot as Michael did.
0 likes
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
12z GFS wants Hermine 2022 to be a Hermine 2016 repeat, but at much higher intensity.
0 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Mod please delete, wrong thread. Thank you
Last edited by sweetpea on Tue Sep 20, 2022 12:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
-
TheHurricaneGod
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 151
- Age: 22
- Joined: Thu Apr 16, 2020 6:19 pm
- Location: Fort Lauderdale
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
verbatim its a pretty large wind field so the rest of S FL gets 25 mph winds
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 71 guests