ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[HurricaneBelle]

On the road, heading north and Fleein’ Ian


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[sikkar]

I don't think the outflow can get any better than this.

[WilmingtonSandbar]

Isn't that front digging a lot further south into Louisiana than predicted

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... uct=wv_mid

[cheezyWXguy]

The consensus is ian will cross florida between cape coral and tampa (imo). Kinda crazy to think how we're back in the cone and have a tropical storm watch (vero beach, fl)

The consensus is north of there at least at the moment. The NHC pretty much matches the TVCN just NW of Tampa

[InfernoFlameCat]

This IR presentation is frustrating. I cannot grasp what is going on under the hood. Ian has not been intensifying like most deep tropic Canes IMO. It isn't clearing out an eye at all.

[skillz305]

The consensus is ian will cross florida between cape coral and tampa (imo). Kinda crazy to think how we're back in the cone and have a tropical storm watch (vero beach, fl)

The consensus is north of there at least at the moment. The NHC pretty much matches the TVCN just NW of Tampa

I had to remember to put "IMO" in my opinion. You are 100% correct. But these models (for now) are trending east.

[Zonacane]

This IR presentation is frustrating. I cannot grasp what is going on under the hood. Ian has not been intensifying like most deep tropic Canes IMO. It isn't clearing out an eye at all.

Dude, seriously?

[katiebelle826]

I live in Winter Haven. Can anyone tell what I can expect here with the current track? Starting to get a bit nervous.

[Iceresistance]

NOAA2 is not even at the center, yet it's reporting extrapolated pressure at 984.1 mb with 59 knot FL winds.

[bahamaswx]

This IR presentation is frustrating. I cannot grasp what is going on under the hood. Ian has not been intensifying like most deep tropic Canes IMO. It isn't clearing out an eye at all.

Agreed.

[Canelaw99]

I bet you're gonna get some nasty bands in the near future, at the very least.

Hope they aren’t bad tomorrow since they decided to have school

[ConvergenceZone]

This interactive storm surge map is insane https://cera.coastalrisk.live/ look how much of 4 counties is destroyed. Insane

Wow that's insane! and let 's hope the storm won't be any stronger than predicted, otherwise it could be even worse...I have a feeling we will be talking about Ian for many years to come.

[InfernoFlameCat]

This IR presentation is frustrating. I cannot grasp what is going on under the hood. Ian has not been intensifying like most deep tropic Canes IMO. It isn't clearing out an eye at all.

Dude, seriously?

Let me clarify, it is not showing dual rotating hot towers while clearing out an eye. Also, it has more feeder bands than any other hurricane that I can think of ATM. It also has been pulsing in convection and intensifying in its earlier stages with stratiform low level convergence. Its just strange to me.

[Aric Dunn]

Definitely an outer eyewall now.. the inner one is rotating around. however, the outer one is quickly contracting too.

[Blown Away]

Definitely an outer eyewall now.. the inner one is rotating around. however, the outer one is quickly contracting too.

Just W of N Aric?

[Bigpapa]

I live in Northern Pinellas County on the border of Clearwater and Palm Harbor about 1/2 mile East of US 19. I do not live in a evecuation zone so my wife and I will be riding this one out.
I will try to give weather updates as long asi I have power and internet. Good luck to all my neighbors in the area.

[GCANE]

I don't think the outflow can get any better than this.

It will when the trough gets closer

[Zonacane]

This IR presentation is frustrating. I cannot grasp what is going on under the hood. Ian has not been intensifying like most deep tropic Canes IMO. It isn't clearing out an eye at all.

Dude, seriously?

Let me clarify, it is not showing dual rotating hot towers while clearing out an eye. Also, it has more feeder bands than any other hurricane that I can think of ATM. It also has been pulsing in convection and intensifying in its earlier stages with stratiform low level convergence. Its just strange to me.

In spite of the issues you have with appearance, Ian is still steadily intensifying. Currently, Ian appears to be undergoing an ERC

[StormPyrate]

I live in Northern Pinellas County on the border of Clearwater and Palm Harbor about 1/2 mile East of US 19. I do not live in a evecuation zone so my wife and I will be riding this one out.
I will try to give weather updates as long asi I have power and internet. Good luck to all my neighbors in the area.

just South of you in CLearwater near Largo, right next to 19
unless the eye comes this way we are thinking ride it out too, we are in evac D supposed to mean surge in the 20s
Stay Safe

[InfernoFlameCat]

I don't think the outflow can get any better than this.

It will when the trough gets closer

I think Patricia had the best outflow ever. Trough enhanced outflow is the most favorable. If Ian got Poleward and Equatorial outflow, it would be ventilating better.