ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
What do you all think the intensity will be like around the Orlando area?
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- Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
bunkhouse wrote:What do you all think the intensity will be like around the Orlando area?
At least Category 3 or 2 (120-105 mph)
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
A new batch of EWW being issued. Ian is so massive and slow moving that places Ft. Myers under an extreme wind warning for going on close to six hours and have another 2 hours or so to go.
Extreme Wind Warning
FLC015-027-049-055-071-081-115-282330-
/O.NEW.KTBW.EW.W.0004.220928T2127Z-220928T2330Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Extreme Wind Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
527 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022
The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued a
* Extreme Wind Warning for...
Southwestern Highlands County in south central Florida...
Southern Hardee County in central Florida...
Southeastern Manatee County in west central Florida...
Charlotte County in southwestern Florida...
DeSoto County in south central Florida...
Lee County in southwestern Florida...
Southeastern Sarasota County in west central Florida...
* Until 730 PM EDT.
* At 526 PM EDT, National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated
extreme winds, associated with the eyewall of Hurricane Ian, were
moving onshore over Charlotte County Airport, or near Punta Gorda.
the hurricane eyewall was moving slowly northeast at 5 MPH. THIS
IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION!
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW! Treat these imminent extreme winds as if a tornado
was approaching and move immediately to the safe room in your
shelter. Take action now to protect your life!
&&
LAT...LON 2648 8225 2698 8244 2745 8203 2745 8139
2703 8139 2703 8156 2648 8156 2645 8224
TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 200DEG 4KT 2690 8198
$$
TBW
Extreme Wind Warning
FLC015-027-049-055-071-081-115-282330-
/O.NEW.KTBW.EW.W.0004.220928T2127Z-220928T2330Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Extreme Wind Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
527 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022
The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued a
* Extreme Wind Warning for...
Southwestern Highlands County in south central Florida...
Southern Hardee County in central Florida...
Southeastern Manatee County in west central Florida...
Charlotte County in southwestern Florida...
DeSoto County in south central Florida...
Lee County in southwestern Florida...
Southeastern Sarasota County in west central Florida...
* Until 730 PM EDT.
* At 526 PM EDT, National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated
extreme winds, associated with the eyewall of Hurricane Ian, were
moving onshore over Charlotte County Airport, or near Punta Gorda.
the hurricane eyewall was moving slowly northeast at 5 MPH. THIS
IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION!
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW! Treat these imminent extreme winds as if a tornado
was approaching and move immediately to the safe room in your
shelter. Take action now to protect your life!
&&
LAT...LON 2648 8225 2698 8244 2745 8203 2745 8139
2703 8139 2703 8156 2648 8156 2645 8224
TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 200DEG 4KT 2690 8198
$$
TBW
Last edited by rhwxgeek on Wed Sep 28, 2022 4:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
bunkhouse wrote:What do you all think the intensity will be like around the Orlando area?
I'd guess low-end Category 3. Would still completely outstrip Charley
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Do not take anything I say seriously as a form of meteorological prediction. I am not a meteorologist; I don't think being in law school translates to any special knowledge. I am just a somewhat bullish amateur watcher.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
My aunt just texted my mother asking if she thinks she’ll still be able to go to her vacation in Naples this weekend. 

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Biologist by training, weather enthusiast for life.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
zal0phus wrote:bunkhouse wrote:What do you all think the intensity will be like around the Orlando area?
I'd guess low-end Category 3. Would still completely outstrip Charley
Doesn’t look likely at this time, NHC has 75kt at its closest approach to Orlando. Winds rapidly dropping on radar. Forecast might further shift east if model trends continue. Best to prepare anyway though
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
SecondBreakfast wrote:My aunt just texted my mother asking if she thinks she’ll still be able to go to her vacation in Naples this weekend.
Naples Italy maybe...
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
According to the 5:30 pm Lee County press conference reports of 135 mph winds in Cape Coral.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
I have been following this site for the last couple of years. Thank you for all the information. Maybe you can help me now. I am in contact with a person who needs rescue in Cape Coral. I saw the list of folks in Naples. Is there something like this for Cape?
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Can anyone pls share a link or actual video/pictures of Ian’s damage on Sanibel/Captiva ? Thank you very much.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Reports of "multiple fatalities" in Lee County. This is from a question from the media during the press conference. 

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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Danirae1177 wrote:I have been following this site for the last couple of years. Thank you for all the information. Maybe you can help me now. I am in contact with a person who needs rescue in Cape Coral. I saw the list of folks in Naples. Is there something like this for Cape?
You need to contact local authorities, unless someone here happens to have a contact number that is the quickest solution.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Not having fun in Venice lol. looks like we are in the outer northwest edge of the bad stuff. hope it ends soon. Safe at this point Lost power and water around noon. but still have cell service. God bless ATT
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
cheezyWXguy wrote:zal0phus wrote:bunkhouse wrote:What do you all think the intensity will be like around the Orlando area?
I'd guess low-end Category 3. Would still completely outstrip Charley
Doesn’t look likely at this time, NHC has 75kt at its closest approach to Orlando. Winds rapidly dropping on radar. Forecast might further shift east if model trends continue. Best to prepare anyway though
Thank you, don't need to get people more scared than necessary. Maintaining a strength of cat 3 12 hours after landfall is unlikely. Possible I suppose but unlikely.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Thank you! He has been in contact with the National Guard. Wasn't sure if there were any other resources out there I didn't know of.
tolakram wrote:Danirae1177 wrote:I have been following this site for the last couple of years. Thank you for all the information. Maybe you can help me now. I am in contact with a person who needs rescue in Cape Coral. I saw the list of folks in Naples. Is there something like this for Cape?
You need to contact local authorities, unless someone here happens to have a contact number that is the quickest solution.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
cheezyWXguy wrote:zal0phus wrote:bunkhouse wrote:What do you all think the intensity will be like around the Orlando area?
I'd guess low-end Category 3. Would still completely outstrip Charley
Doesn’t look likely at this time, NHC has 75kt at its closest approach to Orlando. Winds rapidly dropping on radar. Forecast might further shift east if model trends continue. Best to prepare anyway though
The western eyewall will probably still be intact if the storm gets there tomorrow AM so track that on radar.
Strong gusts in the squalls will stun you but sustained winds will probably be 40 to 60 MPH.
Pinellas county has over 140,000 power outages reported, and that is over 60 miles from the center.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Total whiteout now in Punta Gorda on Severestudios live cam. Per post that just beat me, Josh is now getting rocked possibly sooner than he was expecting.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x2aticerEcs
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x2aticerEcs
Last edited by SconnieCane on Wed Sep 28, 2022 4:54 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Ugh, looting reported in Ft. Myers. Curfew in place for all of Lee County, Charlotte County, and the City of Naples.
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