2022 WPAC Season
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- mrbagyo
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
00z GFS is fantasizing about the area of disorganized convection south of the Hawaiian islands.
ECMWF and CMC also showing some weak vorticity.
Something to keep an eye on.
ECMWF and CMC also showing some weak vorticity.
Something to keep an eye on.
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- mrbagyo
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Re: 2022 WPAC Season
Euro showing tropical development by end of November, while GFS has it already as Pakhar at the same timeframe.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
- cycloneye
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
12z GFS has a long traking SuperTyphoon moving just south of Guam and then arrives at Luzon.
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
cycloneye wrote:12z GFS has a long traking SuperTyphoon moving just south of Guam and then arrives at Luzon.
https://i.imgur.com/O0g6ihl.gif
ECMWF 12Z keeps it on a quick, flat track.
Multi 12Z, the GFS plot here is presumably from the GFSV16 which shows a more south track
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: 2022 WPAC Season
12Z ensembles
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
I'm feeling a Rai redux, hopefully not because even after a year some areas in the Visayas and Mindanao have not yet fully recovered, and then there was Nalgae a month ago that also brought widespread damages in the region.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: 2022 WPAC Season
dexterlabio wrote:I'm feeling a Rai redux, hopefully not because even after a year some areas in the Visayas and Mindanao have not yet fully recovered, and then there was Nalgae a month ago that also brought widespread damages in the region.
I think the same but it could be much stronger, GFS starts to ramp this up near 160E while it was forming Rai between 140-150E
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
- xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
A Rai redux is the last thing we'd like to see. Some power lines especially in Mactan are a mess and some structures haven't been fixed. Same thing in CARAGA and other provinces...
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
After the eye catching runs from the GFS it has now backed off while the Euro remains unfazed for significant tropical development but ensembles seem to say otherwise
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: 2022 WPAC Season
After the failed 90W, GFS is BS'ng again in 5 days. There's some Euro ensemble support but the recent failure it too had a decent ensemble support and the operational was developing it. This time I will only believe it when it happens
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
- mrbagyo
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
Hayabusa wrote:After the failed 90W, GFS is BS'ng again in 5 days. There's some Euro ensemble support but the recent failure it too had a decent ensemble support and the operational was developing it. This time I will only believe it when it happens
Is it time to switch our focus to SHEM? WPAC and the rest of NHEM is just dead this past few weeks
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
I guess we need to wait for the other models to pick it up as well.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Kingarabian
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
I'm not sure if it's NCEP bias or not. There should be some transition towards Neutral ENSO soon. So it should be expected that there will be anomalous westerlies/rising motion in the WPAC that should trigger a STY. We'll see. It's been a somewhat odd year.
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
Kingarabian wrote:I'm not sure if it's NCEP bias or not. There should be some transition towards Neutral ENSO soon. So it should be expected that there will be anomalous westerlies/rising motion in the WPAC that should trigger a STY. We'll see. It's been a somewhat odd year.
maybe that will happen early 2023?
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: 2022 WPAC Season
Kingarabian wrote:I'm not sure if it's NCEP bias or not. There should be some transition towards Neutral ENSO soon. So it should be expected that there will be anomalous westerlies/rising motion in the WPAC that should trigger a STY. We'll see. It's been a somewhat odd year.
It happened with the mighty Surigae, that GFS even modeled an equatorial crossover but it didn't flip the switch. If something's like that happening soon, it should be as mighty as Surigae.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
- Hurricane2022
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
Could 2022 still output one last storm? MJO forecast moving in 3rd week of December...
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: 2022 WPAC Season
Best track released, Hinnamor and Noru got upgraded to 145 knots
https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/product ... wp2022.zip
https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/product ... wp2022.zip
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
- Hurricane2022
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Re: 2022 WPAC Season
Hayabusa wrote:Best track released, Hinnamor and Noru got upgraded to 145 knots
https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/product ... wp2022.zip
https://i.imgur.com/79GLhnF.png
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
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