Texas Winter 2022-2023
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Still 70 degrees this evening. Just gross. I'm ready for at least normal temps. This warm weather is getting on my nerves.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
The TV forecast just gets colder and colder beyond this weekend here. Tomorrow is the last day over 60
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Brent wrote:The TV forecast just gets colder and colder beyond this weekend here. Tomorrow is the last day over 60
The next system will lay more snow cover over Nebraska. Followed by Kansas, and northwest Oklahoma following that. Will be interesting what the landscape will look like regarding groundcover by the time the big digging trough comes, the third in the series.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
I honestly love the warm weather in January, if it's not snowing or icing, then anything below 65 is a waste. The warmth does wonders for my seasonal depression, I don't have all the sunlight I'd like, but at least I have the spring like temperatures to boost my seratonin.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Will say this after a couple of close calls with winter storms on the guidance (ensembles are still tilting in the right direction) that the upcoming pattern that lasts thru Jan 30th is your more typical winter cold snaps. Big trough with each storm pulling a little more cold air with them. Not the big huge dumps we have set our minds to thinking is the standard (rare). Definitely positive and excited at winter storm prospects!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Ntxw wrote:Brent wrote:The TV forecast just gets colder and colder beyond this weekend here. Tomorrow is the last day over 60
The next system will lay more snow cover over Nebraska. Followed by Kansas, and northwest Oklahoma following that. Will be interesting what the landscape will look like regarding groundcover by the time the big digging trough comes, the third in the series.
Yeah the snowstorm is back here and it's only a week out now
10 inches here on the clown map

Last edited by Brent on Wed Jan 18, 2023 12:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Well, if cold air is coming, it’s still not showing up on the GFS…. Each run actually looks worse. 

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
harp wrote:Well, if cold air is coming, it’s still not showing up on the GFS…. Each run actually looks worse.
I guess we'll see but even up here they are saying so far nothing like Christmas
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Brent wrote:harp wrote:Well, if cold air is coming, it’s still not showing up on the GFS…. Each run actually looks worse.
I guess we'll see but even up here they are saying so far nothing like Christmas
Christmas was like a once a decade type event. We likely won't see pressures that high or that kind of a sharp front like that again for a long while.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Ntxw wrote:Will say this after a couple of close calls with winter storms on the guidance (ensembles are still tilting in the right direction) that the upcoming pattern that lasts thru Jan 30th is your more typical winter cold snaps. Big trough with each storm pulling a little more cold air with them. Not the big huge dumps we have set our minds to thinking is the standard (rare). Definitely positive and excited at winter storm prospects!
Agreed! I’m still hoping the Euro has a better read on the pattern than the GFS as it portends much joy for Texas winter weather lovers.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Why does the 0z Euro feature snow in Southern Texas?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:Why does the 0z Euro feature snow in Southern Texas?
Also, look at the 6z GFS. Snow close to Laredo in Mexico but hardly anything anywhere else

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Ntxw wrote:Will say this after a couple of close calls with winter storms on the guidance (ensembles are still tilting in the right direction) that the upcoming pattern that lasts thru Jan 30th is your more typical winter cold snaps. Big trough with each storm pulling a little more cold air with them. Not the big huge dumps we have set our minds to thinking is the standard (rare). Definitely positive and excited at winter storm prospects!
Not only the coming next 1-2 weeks but this Strat Warm event is making the prospects for remainder of winter look even better.
Jan 24-25th event looks good on the Ensembles particularly with the fresh snow pack to the north, system is likely colder than modeled

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- Edwards Limestone
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

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The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Edwards Limestone wrote:https://cropper.watch.aetnd.com/cdn.watch.aetnd.com/sites/5/2017/11/CharlieBrownLucyFootball.jpg
I can't see it for some reason, what is it?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:Edwards Limestone wrote:https://cropper.watch.aetnd.com/cdn.watch.aetnd.com/sites/5/2017/11/CharlieBrownLucyFootball.jpg
I can't see it for some reason, what is it?
Lucy holding the football for Charlie Brown
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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
The ensembles are really building the cold up in our source region towards the end of the month.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Good snowpack further north for the big cold shot in February?
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1614974500159819777
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1614974500159819777
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Really impressed with the Euro synoptics of late. GFS has gone full swing shift mode towards it. After a couple of systems (winter storm potentials?) GFS has followed the Euro and CMC with a cold shot ~25th or just after.
Risk now will be dry NW flow and +PNA ridge once the SW troughs shifts east.
Risk now will be dry NW flow and +PNA ridge once the SW troughs shifts east.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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