Texas Winter 2022-2023

[TropicalTundra]

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/nam-nest/tx/frzr_total/1675036800/1675252800-qcKD0Fze5IU.png

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/nam-218-all/tx/frzr_total/1675036800/1675285200-6R4PFGX2CO8.png

Is there a sleet accumulation map? Hopefully more of it in the mix.

[Texas Snow]

edited because Twisters 3k map is better

[txtwister78]

WRF ARW also further south with freezing rain aligning more with the NAM for now.

[Ralph's Weather]

The NAM/ARW camp vs HRRR is interesting for us in western East Texas. NAM is half inch of ice for me vs HRRR keeps it barely all rain.

[txtwister78]

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/nam-nest/tx/frzr_total/1675036800/1675252800-qcKD0Fze5IU.png

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/nam-218-all/tx/frzr_total/1675036800/1675285200-6R4PFGX2CO8.png

Is there a sleet accumulation map? Hopefully more of it in the mix.

[bubba hotep]

Looks like the freezing line has pushed through pretty much all of DFW.

[CaptinCrunch]

Looks like the freezing line has pushed through pretty much all of DFW.

It's says 29 here at the house

[JDawg512]

Winter Storm Warning for Travis County.

[rwfromkansas]

I’ve hit 29 now.

DFW down to 30 pretty quickly.

[TropicalTundra]

Looks like the freezing line has pushed through pretty much all of DFW.

It's says 29 here at the house

35 here in the Bell Metroplex

[Cerlin]

HRRR has really increased sleet totals and overall QPE over the last few runs…not looking forward to this for any part of the south tomorrow.

[cheezyWXguy]

I notice there are mping reports of freezing drizzle and grauple still in the okc area, despite no returns showing up on radar. Up to this point I was wondering if the reason for the discrepancy between model qpf and forecast qpf was because much of it would evaporate before reaching the ground. However, if points that far north have low levels saturated enough to produce “silent” precip, I doubt that’s the case. Makes me think the nws forecast will in fact be playing catch up

[Cerlin]

 https://twitter.com/sethmonteith150/status/1619894187964649479



Not good trends.

[Ghost0321]

Warnings for most of North TX and DFW by tomorrow morning

[Brent]

Winter Storm Warning for Austin

[Brent]

I notice there are mping reports of freezing drizzle and grauple still in the okc area, despite no returns showing up on radar. Up to this point I was wondering if the reason for the discrepancy between model qpf and forecast qpf was because much of it would evaporate before reaching the ground. However, if points that far north have low levels saturated enough to produce “silent” precip, I doubt that’s the case. Makes me think the nws forecast will in fact be playing catch up

Yeah it's been happening here all day even though it was supposed to end hours ago. When I came home at 730 the cars were starting to get icy. I mean they had mentioned freezing drizzle for this morning maybe briefly but this all day thing has surprised me and I can't help but wonder if that's also what offices to the south have noticed

[WeatherNewbie]

I’m trying to keep up with the comments and graphics. Is it still looking like tomorrow will mostly be okay until late afternoon/evening in DFW? I realize some parts may be impacted more than others, so just the overall thought.

I'd also love an answer to this question.

[UTSARoadrunner4]

Called it!! EWX has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Comal, Hays, Caldwell, Bastrop, and Lee Counties.

In the meantime, saw/felt a bit of a drizzle here in Northern Bexar County. Also a bit colder than I expected…

[Ralph's Weather]

The freeze line has made it to my area. This is well ahead of any model. If noting else this colder than modeled before precip serves to chill the ground.
I am starting to think that DFW may be spared worst of power issues with the inclusion of sleet but that makes roads all the more worse as sleet sticks to roads much more efficiently than freezing rain. Highest freezing rain totals look to be in the eastern DFW to western East Texas areas now. 0Z and especially 12Z models will be very telling beyond that it will be now casting.

[jaguars_22]

The cmc looks even colder than it’s been showing lol… I believe San Antonio will be in some sleet by the end of things