Texas Winter 2022-2023

Winter Weather Discussion

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6141 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Feb 06, 2023 11:26 am

harp wrote:See Larry Cosgrove’s Facebook post this morning… I don’t know how to post it.

Is it this one from Twitter?
 https://twitter.com/LarryCosgrove/status/1622597870447898625


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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6142 Postby harp » Mon Feb 06, 2023 11:28 am

Yes, that looks to be the same one.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6143 Postby orangeblood » Mon Feb 06, 2023 12:07 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
orangeblood wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:North Texas looks to be really wet over the next couple weeks.


Yes it does...and really liking the look at the end of week 2 GEFS - cross Polar flow with PV reforming over Hudson Bay. Euro ENS similar.

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-ensemble-all-avg/nhemi/z500_anom/1675663200/1677045600-dv1WFllUCYE.png


This is a pretty spicy 5-day leading up to that. There will be plenty of cold air in WCAN to setup an eventful end to Feb & start to March.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2023020606/gfs-ens_z500aMean_namer_12.png


Yep, Mean MLSP looks primed for a potent Arctic Shot into the central US during that time (Feb 17-21)

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6144 Postby HockeyTx82 » Mon Feb 06, 2023 12:16 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
harp wrote:See Larry Cosgrove’s Facebook post this morning… I don’t know how to post it.

Is it this one from Twitter?
https://twitter.com/LarryCosgrove/status/1622597870447898625?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet


Concern, what is he saying? Who, what and where?
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6145 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Feb 06, 2023 12:27 pm

These La Niña years have been anything but dull, huh? :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6146 Postby orangeblood » Mon Feb 06, 2023 1:04 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:These La Niña years have been anything but dull, huh? :D


Depending on criteria, arguably the Most Impactful 3 year winter stretch (state wide) since the late 70's
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6147 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Feb 06, 2023 1:14 pm

POW Ponder on Weather's update on the storm system he's watching


Link: https://youtu.be/UUGN_I7ADwY
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6148 Postby Portastorm » Mon Feb 06, 2023 2:30 pm

Iceresistance wrote:POW Ponder on Weather's update on the storm system he's watching
https://youtu.be/UUGN_I7ADwY


Anyone else watch this guy? One of the brothers says he is really good and nailed our ice storm a week out. Of course, I can point to some who frequent this thread who also nailed the ice storm a week out. ;-)

I was just wondering about this Ponder fellow and if he's worth a YouTube subscribe.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6149 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Feb 06, 2023 2:34 pm

Portastorm wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:POW Ponder on Weather's update on the storm system he's watching
https://youtu.be/UUGN_I7ADwY


Anyone else watch this guy? One of the brothers says he is really good and nailed our ice storm a week out. Of course, I can point to some who frequent this thread who also nailed the ice storm a week out. ;-)

I was just wondering about this Ponder fellow and if he's worth a YouTube subscribe.

He seems to be pretty accurate and not a hype train like most.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6150 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Feb 06, 2023 4:56 pm

Yukon Cornelius wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:POW Ponder on Weather's update on the storm system he's watching
https://youtu.be/UUGN_I7ADwY


Anyone else watch this guy? One of the brothers says he is really good and nailed our ice storm a week out. Of course, I can point to some who frequent this thread who also nailed the ice storm a week out. ;-)

I was just wondering about this Ponder fellow and if he's worth a YouTube subscribe.

He seems to be pretty accurate and not a hype train like most.


Oh yeah, he's really accurate imo. He did nail the ice storm. He doesn't sensationalize like a lot of them. He's matter-of-fact and doesn't sugar-coat either. I subscribed to him a few months ago when I heard about him from someone, I think on this forum(?). Anyway. He analyzes the patterns. I like him.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6151 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Mon Feb 06, 2023 5:14 pm

Arctic shot just in time for the start of College Baseball season. I wouldn't have it any other way. :lol: :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6152 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Feb 06, 2023 9:02 pm

Wet week ahead!

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6153 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Feb 07, 2023 9:08 am

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6154 Postby orangeblood » Tue Feb 07, 2023 9:13 am

Safe to say that consensus is increasing for a Major Buildup of Siberian/Arctic air in our source region during the 10-14 day period. Too early to tell on if/when/how it will be delivered but really good sign for those looking for an entertaining Winter End Game!

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6155 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Feb 07, 2023 11:38 am

Next Week is looking more interesting with the rainfall potential over Texas and Oklahoma, the heaviest part is currently over Northern Texas per WPC
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6156 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Feb 07, 2023 11:42 am

This is for ElectricStorm because Skiatook, OK Mesonet got 1.22 inches of rain as the bullseye last night. :lol:
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6157 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Feb 07, 2023 11:53 am

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6158 Postby wxman57 » Tue Feb 07, 2023 12:04 pm

I'm quite confident now that the worst of the winter weather is behind us here in Texas. Possibly another light freeze here in Houston late next week, but that's about it. I know we've had freezes well into March in the past, but I'm hopeful that March will bring a return to 70s and 80s across SE TX. March just sounds warmer than February.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6159 Postby harp » Tue Feb 07, 2023 12:34 pm

12z GFS gives SE Texas and SW and SC Louisiana some snow on the 17th. Yeah, right….
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6160 Postby Cerlin » Tue Feb 07, 2023 12:54 pm

Getting some little ice pellets with our rain today. Earlier sounding suggests it’s instability driven tiny hail but it looks and behaves exactly like sleet. Plus it’s 42 degrees!
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