Texas Winter 2022-2023

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rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6181 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Feb 08, 2023 12:23 pm

Still have a bit more heavy rain at my house and at 2.15, so pretty darn impressive.
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6182 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Feb 08, 2023 1:48 pm

12z Euro has another widespread rain event on deck.

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6183 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Feb 08, 2023 2:08 pm

:uarrow: Please keep em coming! My dad in SA just let me know he got 0.50 inch from this event, and is now up to 2 inches for the month so far. Not bad at all, I'm thankful!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6184 Postby orangeblood » Wed Feb 08, 2023 2:52 pm

Nice graphic from last weeks Cold Outbreak, really impressive cold....GFS had about 12 hours of below freezing a few days leading up to the event! :lol: :lol: Just atrocious, DO NOT TRUST THAT MODEL WITH ARCTIC AIRMASSES!!

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6185 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 08, 2023 3:11 pm

Subjective analogs for day 10+ shows a cold bleed from W-C Canada for the last third of February. Look for another poleward Aleutian ridge pattern leading to -EPO cold air damming event. Ensembles are there.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6186 Postby harp » Wed Feb 08, 2023 3:22 pm

Ntxw wrote:Subjective analogs for day 10+ shows a cold bleed from W-C Canada for the last third of February. Look for another poleward Aleutian ridge pattern leading to -EPO cold air damming event. Ensembles are there.

https://i.imgur.com/EvRoX8g.png

Larry Cosgrove seems to agree with you.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6187 Postby orangeblood » Wed Feb 08, 2023 3:22 pm

Ntxw wrote:Subjective analogs for day 10+ shows a cold bleed from W-C Canada for the last third of February. Look for another poleward Aleutian ridge pattern leading to -EPO cold air damming event. Ensembles are there.

https://i.imgur.com/EvRoX8g.png


Looks like favorable setup for the southern plains! Should be cattle prodded by the Major System moving thru around the 15-16th....which still has time to trend further south
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6188 Postby Gotwood » Wed Feb 08, 2023 3:29 pm

Ntxw wrote:Subjective analogs for day 10+ shows a cold bleed from W-C Canada for the last third of February. Look for another poleward Aleutian ridge pattern leading to -EPO cold air damming event. Ensembles are there.

https://i.imgur.com/EvRoX8g.png

I just want some measurable snowfall.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6189 Postby Gotwood » Wed Feb 08, 2023 3:31 pm

orangeblood wrote:Nice graphic from last weeks Cold Outbreak, really impressive cold....GFS had about 12 hours of below freezing a few days leading up to the event! :lol: :lol: Just atrocious, DO NOT TRUST THAT MODEL WITH ARCTIC AIRMASSES!!

http://www.weather.gov/images/fwd/graphicast/image5.jpg?cff3ebbd990ed18d557c4fab8d8d65ef

Don’t want to brag but I’m in the dark blue lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6190 Postby EnnisTx » Wed Feb 08, 2023 4:40 pm

Gotwood wrote:
orangeblood wrote:Nice graphic from last weeks Cold Outbreak, really impressive cold....GFS had about 12 hours of below freezing a few days leading up to the event! :lol: :lol: Just atrocious, DO NOT TRUST THAT MODEL WITH ARCTIC AIRMASSES!!

http://www.weather.gov/images/fwd/graphicast/image5.jpg?cff3ebbd990ed18d557c4fab8d8d65ef

Don’t want to brag but I’m in the dark blue lol


Looks like it's about 600 feet to the East of you to me. :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6191 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Feb 08, 2023 4:41 pm

2.1 inches of rain, my goodness
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6192 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Feb 08, 2023 5:03 pm

Ntxw wrote:Subjective analogs for day 10+ shows a cold bleed from W-C Canada for the last third of February. Look for another poleward Aleutian ridge pattern leading to -EPO cold air damming event. Ensembles are there.

https://i.imgur.com/EvRoX8g.png


Now if only the dang SE ridge can be held at bay a bit.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6193 Postby Gotwood » Wed Feb 08, 2023 5:53 pm

EnnisTx wrote:
Gotwood wrote:
orangeblood wrote:Nice graphic from last weeks Cold Outbreak, really impressive cold....GFS had about 12 hours of below freezing a few days leading up to the event! :lol: :lol: Just atrocious, DO NOT TRUST THAT MODEL WITH ARCTIC AIRMASSES!!

http://www.weather.gov/images/fwd/graphicast/image5.jpg?cff3ebbd990ed18d557c4fab8d8d65ef

Don’t want to brag but I’m in the dark blue lol


Looks like it's about 600 feet to the East of you to me. :wink:

Most likely the truth
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6194 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Feb 08, 2023 5:54 pm

What in the world? I'm expecting snow today and Friday Morning, it's not going to cause major road problems though
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6195 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Feb 08, 2023 7:26 pm

Snow reported in Western OKC :double:
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6196 Postby Texas Snowman » Thu Feb 09, 2023 10:07 am

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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6197 Postby Cpv17 » Thu Feb 09, 2023 10:34 am



There’s been talk about this since late December and nothing has came out of it.
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orangeblood
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6198 Postby orangeblood » Thu Feb 09, 2023 10:36 am



Working its way down into the Troposphere too....good sign for a really active Late Feb/especially into March!!!

This is how you can tell the SSW is working its way downward....JB graphic is the 10 MB level, this is the 50 mb at the same time!

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6199 Postby orangeblood » Thu Feb 09, 2023 10:37 am

Cpv17 wrote:


There’s been talk about this since late December and nothing has came out of it.


Never propagated downward earlier, now it appears it will
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6200 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 09, 2023 11:07 am

Up to 1 inch of snow could occur at my area tomorrow morning

There are a lot of crashes in OKC right now because of the Black Ice that formed last night.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!


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