Kingarabian wrote:30 day SOI has finally flipped negative. Still a long way to go and its 50/50 March averages out as a negative with the MJO entering the IO next week.
Agree there's still a long way to go for a official Nino to go to meet all the tri-monthly thresholds (re SOI and SST's). Most in our region would-be more than happy for a long ongoing neutral type flavor in the ENSO region similar to 2012. Ninos are mostly long misery events in our region and can be very destructive for other regions.