Texas Summer 2023

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Tireman4
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1101 Postby Tireman4 » Fri Aug 18, 2023 3:41 pm

Ntxw wrote:
DallasAg wrote:
Ntxw wrote:FYI we may challenge all time max temps on Sunday.

I noticed on FWD's forecast matrix that they're showing a wind shift to the N and then E on Sunday. Is that legit? If so maybe that helps to shave a degree or so from the worst of it. Still, 108 doesn't feel better than 110. Might as well go for some truly historic heat if we're going to get that close.

Currently 106.5F IMBY (North Dallas). +2.1 to same time yesterday...when I maxed out at 112.3. Ugh.


Winds may very shift Sunday, however that's when the ridge truly flexes beyond 600dm. Where it's hot even to the north and east, doesn't help.

I am so over this summer.


Gosh, for our long range guy to say this does not give me hope..LOL
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1102 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri Aug 18, 2023 3:51 pm

cstrunk wrote:
weatherdude1108 wrote:On a side note, I am very interested in the Tempest WeatherFlow weather station he advertises. I've seen all good reviews. Anyone on here have one of those stations? I know it's on the pricier side, but looks so easy to install. Just wondering how it holds up to hail(?). Right now, it would only track the daily max records and heat index! :lol:


I've had one for a few years now and have never had any issues with it. Solar powered, doesn't need batteries. Detects lightning. Seems to be accurate with rainfall and temperatures. I think mine reads dewpoints a bit too high. I can't speak to wind measurements, since I have too many trees in my neighborhood to ever gauge how accurate that is. Definitely recommend!


Awesome, good to hear/see! :) With the wind, that is my issue too, lots of trees around my yard and houses not far apart, but only one large one and a few medium ones in mine. Just not enough space, and roof has gutters all around. I figure I would put it on a fence post in my yard that is open to the sky where I already have a CoCoRaHS rain gauge. The roof edge would be ideal for wind and cool to see speed and direction, but not sure that'll happen in my yard. Plus, may get radiated heat from roof(?). Anywho. Thanks for the feedback! May ask for it as a Christmas wish present. :)
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1103 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri Aug 18, 2023 3:57 pm

What a depressing forum all of a sudden. :( What about the SOI? Saw it went positve slightly.

But overall 30 and 90-day averages still negative. Hmmmm.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1104 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Aug 18, 2023 4:04 pm

AOI in the GoM from a Tropical Wave over the Bahamas is now Orange, 0/40%
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1105 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Aug 18, 2023 4:05 pm

weatherdude1108 wrote:What a depressing forum all of a sudden. :( What about the SOI? Saw it went positve slightly.

But overall 30 and 90-day averages still negative. Hmmmm.


There are cases where the SOI does not matter, and this is sadly one of them.

An insanely wet fall? Maybe...
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1106 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Fri Aug 18, 2023 5:06 pm

Aside from the hell heat, is anyone else’s area also dealing with insane plagues of grasshoppers and locusts? Whatever trees the heat isn’t getting, the grasshoppers are.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1107 Postby tajmahal » Fri Aug 18, 2023 5:13 pm

captainbarbossa19 wrote:
DallasAg wrote:DFW sitting at 108 as of 3:00p. This summer seems like our daily high temps have been occurring later in the day than most summers (just my perception). Lots of cases we peak closer to 5:00 than normally I think of 3:00-4:00 being the max. Might make a run at 110, if not today then tomorrow.

Not sure I buy the hourly reports coming out of Comanche. Currently 116F, and they've had a lot of days this summer > 110F. Feels a little off, even being in a region where they're naturally going to be a little hotter.

Agree with the others about the comparisons to 2011. For DFW even with 71 days >= 100, only 19 were >= 105. This summer DFW has already had 16 (including today), with surely more to come.

Bottom line: this sucks. Sept (probably mid-Sept at that) needs to get here. Stat.


Not sure we will have to wait that long necessarily. If the 12z Euro is right about the EPAC crossover and the shifting ridge, we could have another system in the Gulf soon. The Euro shows it strengthening too which is interesting.


Comanche is a NWS reporting site that reports multiple times per hour.

https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droma ... N&time=GMT
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1108 Postby tajmahal » Fri Aug 18, 2023 5:16 pm

DallasAg wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:With no major pattern shift on the horizon, this summer looks to outpace last summer on 100 days in dfw by next weekend. At this rate we could end up #3 or 4 on the all time list


If we reach 110+ today that would beat any summer since 2000 for max high. Unbelievable. Last summer was 4th warmest average. No El Nino year occupies top 5. Only 2006 is #10.


And what I remember from summer 2000 was that it really started kinda late, but once it got going it was insane. Labor Day weekend was brutal. IIRC on Labor Day it was already 100 by 10:00a on the way to 111.

But the glimmer of hope for us (I know it was 23 years ago and a lot has changed) was that within a couple of weeks after that we got rain again, and the fall was gloriously cold and wet. Nov 2000 is the coldest average max and 3rd wettest. By December it was ice storms, long periods below freezing, and snow on New Year's Eve.


DFW Airport was 99° at 10 am.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/af ... 0009041500
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1109 Postby rwfromkansas » Fri Aug 18, 2023 5:44 pm

112 IMBY today. If I wanted to live in Phoenix, I would move to that crap hole.

Ugh.

We will definitely beat 2011 for 105+ days in DFW.

1980 is within sight. Horrible.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1110 Postby cheezyWXguy » Fri Aug 18, 2023 6:05 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:112 IMBY today. If I wanted to live in Phoenix, I would move to that crap hole.

Ugh.

We will definitely beat 2011 for 105+ days in DFW.

1980 is within sight. Horrible.

Do you have a link to the list of summers ranked by 105 degree days?
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1111 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Aug 18, 2023 6:27 pm

Yukon Cornelius wrote:Aside from the hell heat, is anyone else’s area also dealing with insane plagues of grasshoppers and locusts? Whatever trees the heat isn’t getting, the grasshoppers are.

The Grasshoppers destroyed my Peppers but left everything else alone.

I do have a lot of Crickets though, most in years.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1112 Postby rwfromkansas » Fri Aug 18, 2023 6:57 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:112 IMBY today. If I wanted to live in Phoenix, I would move to that crap hole.

Ugh.

We will definitely beat 2011 for 105+ days in DFW.

1980 is within sight. Horrible.

Do you have a link to the list of summers ranked by 105 degree days?


Has a story graphic here: https://www.weather.gov/fwd/
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1113 Postby tajmahal » Fri Aug 18, 2023 7:55 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:112 IMBY today. If I wanted to live in Phoenix, I would move to that crap hole.

Ugh.

We will definitely beat 2011 for 105+ days in DFW.

1980 is within sight. Horrible.

Do you have a link to the list of summers ranked by 105 degree days?


https://xmacis.rcc-acis.org/
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1114 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Aug 19, 2023 7:26 am

Wichita Falls, Texas did not even get below 80 last night
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1115 Postby Portastorm » Sat Aug 19, 2023 10:18 am

Saw another interesting factoid from a local TV met and confirmed by our NWS office … Austin this summer has had the most number of hours at or above 100° in recorded history. We’re at 279 hours. Apparently even 2011 can’t match it.

HOTTEST SUMMER EVER! Ugh. :(

Dang wxman57 and his ever-heat-loving thermostat!
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1116 Postby Texoz » Sat Aug 19, 2023 10:30 am

Portastorm wrote:Saw another interesting factoid from a local TV met and confirmed by our NWS office … Austin this summer has had the most number of hours at or above 100° in recorded history. We’re at 279 hours. Apparently even 2011 can’t match it.

HOTTEST SUMMER EVER! Ugh. :(

Dang wxman57 and his ever-heat-loving thermostat!

Not surprised. Feel bad for the farmers & ranchers and wildlife & plants. The period from 2011 to now has been brutal. Texas A&M forestry estimated 300 million (or more) trees lost in 2011. I'm sure many more were lost in 2021 Snowpocalypse and the 2023 ice storms.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1117 Postby Portastorm » Sat Aug 19, 2023 10:33 am

Texoz wrote:
Portastorm wrote:Saw another interesting factoid from a local TV met and confirmed by our NWS office … Austin this summer has had the most number of hours at or above 100° in recorded history. We’re at 279 hours. Apparently even 2011 can’t match it.

HOTTEST SUMMER EVER! Ugh. :(

Dang wxman57 and his ever-heat-loving thermostat!

Not surprised. Feel bad for the farmers & ranchers and wildlife & plants. The period from 2011 to now has been brutal. Texas A&M forestry estimated 300 million (or more) trees lost in 2011. I'm sure many more were lost in 2021 Snowpocalypse and the 2023 ice storms.


You bring up some good points. Yeah, our poor trees and plants in these last 10-15 years have faced an onslaught haven’t they?! It has been brutal.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1118 Postby Ntxw » Sat Aug 19, 2023 11:46 am

Tireman4 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
DallasAg wrote:I noticed on FWD's forecast matrix that they're showing a wind shift to the N and then E on Sunday. Is that legit? If so maybe that helps to shave a degree or so from the worst of it. Still, 108 doesn't feel better than 110. Might as well go for some truly historic heat if we're going to get that close.

Currently 106.5F IMBY (North Dallas). +2.1 to same time yesterday...when I maxed out at 112.3. Ugh.


Winds may very shift Sunday, however that's when the ridge truly flexes beyond 600dm. Where it's hot even to the north and east, doesn't help.

I am so over this summer.


Gosh, for our long range guy to say this does not give me hope..LOL


My friend, I have yet to learn same ole mistakes, if you don't predict warmer than normal 7/10 times you will be wrong :lol:. It's just so tough to get below normal on a seasonal scale.

If you can't beat em, join em :lol:.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1119 Postby SoupBone » Sat Aug 19, 2023 12:30 pm

All I know is I'm sick of this crap. Something has to give here. I have always tolerated summer but I officially hate it. I need to move to San Diego.
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Re: Texas Summer 2023

#1120 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 19, 2023 1:57 pm

12Z Euro with a significant cool down for the Midwest including Texas days 7-10:

Image
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