Texas Winter 2024-2025

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rylo7956
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7141 Postby rylo7956 » Tue Jan 21, 2025 3:26 pm

Stratton23 wrote:I wouldn’t get your hopes up, while i wouldnt rule out another shot of arctic air in early february , winter is for sure ocer after the first week of february, the big suxk miserable pattern is coming


Maybe for Katy but for DFW Feb. is actually the snowiest month and about every 4 to 5 years we get snow or ice in March. In fact since 2000 DFW has had at least a trace of snow in February 18 times
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7142 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Jan 21, 2025 3:34 pm

rylo7956 wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:I wouldn’t get your hopes up, while i wouldnt rule out another shot of arctic air in early february , winter is for sure ocer after the first week of february, the big suxk miserable pattern is coming


Maybe for Katy but for DFW Feb. is actually the snowiest month and about every 4 to 5 years we get snow or ice in March. In fact since 2000 DFW has had at least a trace of snow in February 18 times

Nice stat.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7143 Postby Ntxw » Tue Jan 21, 2025 3:36 pm

New Orleans might on their way to break their record snowfall of 8" from 1895, just wow!
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7144 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 21, 2025 3:37 pm

Ntxw wrote:New Orleans might on their way to break their record snowfall of 8" from 1895, just wow!


Mobile is breaking records from the 1800s too :eek:

I know it's not here but this is insane like the storms we read about
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7145 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Jan 21, 2025 3:38 pm

rylo7956 im talking about the state as a whole , its looking pretty above normal in february for a good chunk of the US , MJO goes into unfavorable phases, teleconnections are all positive, youre going to have a really tough time getting winter weather further south than the panhandle in that kind of a pattern, we will see if anything changes, but for now guidance for sure is favoring a pretty warm february for a good chibk of the southern us including texas
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7146 Postby snownado » Tue Jan 21, 2025 3:42 pm

Brent wrote:
Ntxw wrote:New Orleans might on their way to break their record snowfall of 8" from 1895, just wow!


Mobile is breaking records from the 1800s too :eek:

I know it's not here but this is insane like the storms we read about


That Mobile 1895 record (6") is from the same storm as New Orleans.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7147 Postby wxman22 » Tue Jan 21, 2025 3:42 pm

I mentioned this the other day but I am watching next weeks system for those of us in NW Texas and Oklahoma. There is some support of a winterstorm on the GEFS early next week. We need the trough to kick out and not meander on the west coast.Something to watch.

Image

Image
Last edited by wxman22 on Tue Jan 21, 2025 3:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7148 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Jan 21, 2025 3:45 pm

Next several weeks look pretty wet for the whole state, pattern looks to stay active
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7149 Postby Texoz » Tue Jan 21, 2025 3:50 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Next several weeks look pretty wet for the whole state, pattern looks to stay active


Central to West Texas really need that moisture.

https://www.drought.gov/states/texas
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7150 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Jan 21, 2025 3:55 pm

The one thing that doesn't help our cause if you're looking for more cold is the AO is trending big positive while the EPO dives a little more negative for another week before trending positive at the end of the month and that's when our warming trend looks to really get going.

The +AO/-EPO argues for a split flow pattern so not sure how much cold can be pulled down with these southern systems, but I would say the panhandle/far west TX is probably the more favored area with perhaps a little more active setup for rain/few storms across areas south into central/east tx. Cooler weather looks to hang around for another week but doesn't look like anything we just experienced
Last edited by txtwister78 on Tue Jan 21, 2025 4:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7151 Postby orangeblood » Tue Jan 21, 2025 4:03 pm

Cross Polar Flow piling up Arctic Cold in our source region of NW Canada end of week 2, too premature to write off winter quite yet. With cold air lurking like this, all it takes is a big system to dig into the desert southwest/tap into the air across the northern tier...usually is our best southern plains February recipe!!

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7152 Postby JDawg512 » Tue Jan 21, 2025 4:43 pm

Apparently my giant heat lamp malfunctioned overnight and I woke up to a light coverage of snow. Maybe half inch in the deepest spots. This i don't really mind as it doesn't stick around too long.

My attention and excitement turns to this weekend's rain chances!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7153 Postby opticsguy » Tue Jan 21, 2025 4:51 pm

18F this morning north of McKinney. 31F for the high. Snow that fell two weeks ago Thursday is still in my front yard. It will be there on day 13.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7154 Postby Ralph's Weather » Tue Jan 21, 2025 5:01 pm

High here was 32 today. Saw that Eagles Nest, NM hit -32 this morning, that is one of the coldest towns in the US.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7155 Postby iorange55 » Tue Jan 21, 2025 5:12 pm

Ralph's Weather wrote:High here was 32 today. Saw that Eagles Nest, NM hit -32 this morning, that is one of the coldest towns in the US.


Wait, really? -32? Where did you see that?
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7156 Postby nlosrgr8 » Tue Jan 21, 2025 5:28 pm

Okay, it happened, I didn’t want snow here around Houston. But since we got our once in a decade amount, not as bad as I feared , I’m ready for the next one…. Do you think there is a snowballs chance we get hit twice this year?
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7157 Postby capNstorms » Tue Jan 21, 2025 5:45 pm

Today we broke the 2017 record in Beaumont of 3". There was one year in 1895 of 30" recorded, but that's an outlier. So, we broke the single day snowfall event record I do believe but correct me if I'm wrong.

7-9" in various locations reported. Possibly more but idk official data yet. It's 4:30 here and snow melt was minimum, there is still ice/snow chunks on roads.

You think it'll be safe to drive tomorrow from Beaumont to Liberty at 5am? I take hwy 90 and I drive a rear wheel drive sport sedan with low profile performance tires. It's currently parked in the garage. Here's how we are sitting going into tonight's/ tomorrows extreme cold.

https://imgur.com/a/nf0iZGi
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7158 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Jan 21, 2025 6:14 pm

capNstorms no! 5 am you’re definitely going to have black ice on the roads with temps in the upper teens likely, if possible wait till mid morning to get out, but if you can’t, then take it really slowly oit there
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7159 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Jan 21, 2025 6:21 pm

nlosrgr8 wrote:Okay, it happened, I didn’t want snow here around Houston. But since we got our once in a decade amount, not as bad as I feared , I’m ready for the next one…. Do you think there is a snowballs chance we get hit twice this year?


Well, you never say never when it comes to mother nature, but considering the length of time you had to go to get this level of accumulating snow, I wouldn't bet on it. Probably best way to put it. Glad to see you changed your mind about the snow once you got it though. Fun for us folks in the south who aren't used to seeing it (especially when it's manageable).
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7160 Postby TomballEd » Tue Jan 21, 2025 6:26 pm

Estimate 2 inches of snow IMBY. Melted anywhere there was sun exposure.

Galveston still has snow cover, watching news, but they likely had more snow.
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