Tropical Wave in East-Central Tropical Atlantic

[cycloneye]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jul 18 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave interacting with a broad area of low pressure is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms more than 800 miles
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions could
become marginally conducive for gradual development late this
weekend through early next week as the system moves westward to
west-northwestward around 10 mph. By the middle of next week,
environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for
further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

[cycloneye]

[AtlanticWind]

First system highlighted in tropical Atlantic I believe.

[cycloneye]

ASCAT hits wave and shows no defined circulation but winds are up to 34kt.

[Teban54]

For a year that had been tainted with "cool MDR" talks and a time of the season when SAL runs rampant, the waves this season definitely feel quite impressive. Even some of the earlier ones that had no chance to develop still put up a slow for what they were.

[HurricaneAndre2008]

ABNT20 KNHC 190527
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave interacting with a broad area of low pressure is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms around 900 miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions
are marginally conducive for gradual development of this system
during the next few days, as it moves westward to west-northwestward
around 10 mph. By the middle of next week, environmental conditions
are forecast to become unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema

[weeniepatrol]

For a year that had been tainted with "cool MDR" talks and a time of the season when SAL runs rampant, the waves this season definitely feel quite impressive. Even some of the earlier ones that had no chance to develop still put up a slow for what they were.

Oops!

[cycloneye]

First visble images.

[cycloneye]

First visble images.

[cycloneye]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave interacting with a broad area of low pressure is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms about 900 miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions
are marginally conducive for gradual development of this system
during the next few days, as it moves westward to west-northwestward
around 10 mph. By the middle of next week, environmental conditions
are forecast to become unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Hagen

[wxman57]

It's heading into a region of increasing wind shear by Monday. Not much of a future.

[Blinhart]

It's heading into a region of increasing wind shear by Monday. Not much of a future.

I was wondering why it didn't have a higher percentage. Looking pretty good right now.

[cycloneye]

Not much data from this recent pass that missed the NE side where the most turning is happening.

[Hurricane2022]

It's heading into a region of increasing wind shear by Monday. Not much of a future.

It could become a brief TS/TD.
 https://x.com/daniloevan11/status/1946568798380716103

[floridasun]

i dont think this going strong but show what we see in aug maybe going wild ride

[cycloneye]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave interacting with a broad area of low pressure is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms more than 900 miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions
appear marginally conducive for gradual development of this system
during the next few days as it moves westward to west-northwestward
around 10 mph. By the middle of next week, environmental conditions
are forecast to become unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen