
Texas Fall 2025
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Down to 43 IMBY this moring 

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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
ETX is as low as 38 with low 40s generally outside of town and mid 40s in town. Borderline for isolated frost in cold spots.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
53F at DFW coolest since May. Next 7 days is magnificent!
Normal is mid 70s/50s so even that is a win.
Normal is mid 70s/50s so even that is a win.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
42 degrees in the city.
That's more like October here
Seeing some 34-35s in the rural areas
I can't remember the last time we were colder than forecast
Loving the rain forecast this weekend. I mean I don't see any really cold air in the next two weeks but still even seasonal is way better than it's been

Seeing some 34-35s in the rural areas
I can't remember the last time we were colder than forecast

Loving the rain forecast this weekend. I mean I don't see any really cold air in the next two weeks but still even seasonal is way better than it's been
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
47 degrees here
. The WPC has a large slight risk for excessive rain.A moderate risk upgrade *may* be needed, per WPC's discussion.



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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Man, I sure hate to worry about rain, especially out here in West Texas. question for you seasoned Meteorologist's, we are having a memorial service for our youngest son at our home property near Albany, Texas on Saturday at 11:30 am. Was hoping this will move out of our area by early Saturday morning or even Friday night. Any thought on this being East of us? this is outdoor and spreading of ashes...
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Fifty Rock wrote:Man, I sure hate to worry about rain, especially out here in West Texas. question for you seasoned Meteorologist's, we are having a memorial service for our youngest son at our home property near Albany, Texas on Saturday at 11:30 am. Was hoping this will move out of our area by early Saturday morning or even Friday night. Any thought on this being East of us? this is outdoor and spreading of ashes...
My condolences.

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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Fifty Rock wrote:Man, I sure hate to worry about rain, especially out here in West Texas. question for you seasoned Meteorologist's, we are having a memorial service for our youngest son at our home property near Albany, Texas on Saturday at 11:30 am. Was hoping this will move out of our area by early Saturday morning or even Friday night. Any thought on this being East of us? this is outdoor and spreading of ashes...
My understanding as a non-professional is that I think the main core of this will be east by that point. But, not sure. I am so horribly sorry to hear about this loss. I can't imagine, and I am just so sorry. My prayers and condolences.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
It got down to 43 IMBY. Crazy how much warmer DFW was than here in west-central Tarrant. Basically 10 degrees warmer!
SIDE NOTE: Will Melissa screw up anything for our pattern change, like bring the ridge back over us?
SIDE NOTE: Will Melissa screw up anything for our pattern change, like bring the ridge back over us?
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Fall 2025
rwfromkansas wrote:gpsnowman wrote:Ntxw wrote:At this point I just want some air mixing. Air quality days in October is taking a toll.
Allergy season for me is always Feb-April. This fall season my allergies have been everyday. Nothing but dust and dry, crispy leaves in the backyard. Dust Bowl in October. Luckily tomorrow I will be in New England for several days in 50 degree air visiting Boston and New Hampshire for a fall break with my daughter. Much needed. Lived there when I was a child. Might be time to move there after gpsnowdaughter graduates.
Jealous. Boston is my favorite city I have ever visited. If I could move there, I would, though I would miss severe weather. My wife and I both love it. And the subway doesn’t smell unlike NYC…
Got back Saturday. Not a temp higher than 62 the entire time. Lows were in the upper 30s and lower 40s every morning during our time in New Hampshire. The foliage was hit or miss but better than north Texas has to offer. Overall a great trip and the daughter enjoyed it so mission accomplished. Back to Texas weather. End of October looks promising after the rain chances this weekend. Finally.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
rwfromkansas wrote:SIDE NOTE: Will Melissa screw up anything for our pattern change, like bring the ridge back over us?
I think we’re about at the point of the year where hurricanes don’t really survive outside the Caribbean. The SSTs might be high enough further north, but the wind shear cranks up a lot higher and it tears them to pieces.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
mmmmsnouts wrote:rwfromkansas wrote:SIDE NOTE: Will Melissa screw up anything for our pattern change, like bring the ridge back over us?
I think we’re about at the point of the year where hurricanes don’t really survive outside the Caribbean. The SSTs might be high enough further north, but the wind shear cranks up a lot higher and it tears them to pieces.
That's what I was thinking, it seems like it won't come anywhere close to the Gulf to be an issue, but just in case, I thought I would ask, lol.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
rwfromkansas wrote:mmmmsnouts wrote:rwfromkansas wrote:SIDE NOTE: Will Melissa screw up anything for our pattern change, like bring the ridge back over us?
I think we’re about at the point of the year where hurricanes don’t really survive outside the Caribbean. The SSTs might be high enough further north, but the wind shear cranks up a lot higher and it tears them to pieces.
That's what I was thinking, it seems like it won't come anywhere close to the Gulf to be an issue, but just in case, I thought I would ask, lol.
I will say I did see Mike Morgan talking about record highs after Halloween yesterday(cool Halloween then it warms back up)
But it is Mike Morgan

I do see a slight warmup right now but it's not anywhere close to records
I just think it's too late now the fronts are too frequent for any crazy warmth. Not to mention just beyond that I've been hearing talk of really cold air for awhile now. If it is it's probably a couple days before temps crash?
The Euro has nothing over 71 here in that timeframe
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
GFS has highs in the mid 60’s all the way down to SE texas on halloween, love to see it !
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
See some decent signs from the ENS the first part of November may feature an Aleutian trough, which is against typical Nina Aleutian ridge. Aleutian troughs is often a precursor to some cold moving southward, tied with a good +PNA. Eastern trough may prevail in the new month.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Ntxw but wouldn’t Aleutian troughing just flood the US with pacific air?
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
I'm still not seeing any cold air to get excited about even up here
Honestly maybe we'll save it for when it really matters though
Honestly maybe we'll save it for when it really matters though
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
I was just looking at the historicals and a year ago this time it was 90 degrees and the record was 91, I guess this isn't that far off of the new normal as we thought.
Even I, a Summer girl to my core, am ready for some cozy weather, but not too cold, unless I am promised snow.
Even I, a Summer girl to my core, am ready for some cozy weather, but not too cold, unless I am promised snow.
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I'm a Princess, not a forecaster.
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Re: Texas Fall 2025
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:I was just looking at the historicals and a year ago this time it was 90 degrees and the record was 91, I guess this isn't that far off of the new normal as we thought.
Even I, a Summer girl to my core, am ready for some cozy weather, but not too cold, unless I am promised snow.
Amazingly our hottest Halloween ever was in 1950 at 87 degrees. Always makes me laugh when people talk about how it was never hot before.... And I've seen it a lot this month because it's been so warm relatively speaking(even this week the afternoons are a torch still). People act like it snows every Halloween here or something... I think we've had exactly one measure snow(1993) and someone said everything was basically cancelled that year anyway

It's looking like we stay in the 60s this year with no rain or wind which ain't bad
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