Texas Fall 2025

[lukem]

Where can you find a WPC QPF 7 day map that shows the counties in Texas? The one I go to on their site only shows all of Texas so it’s hard to pinpoint exact locations. I know I see the more detailed map on here often (resembles the GFS, NAM, etc.)

[Cpv17]

Where can you find a WPC QPF 7 day map that shows the counties in Texas? The one I go to on their site only shows all of Texas so it’s hard to pinpoint exact locations. I know I see the more detailed map on here often (resembles the GFS, NAM, etc.)

I’ve been wondering for years where you find those maps.

[snownado]

For DFW, aside from shattering today's record high of 83*F, if the low of 72*F holds it will break the previous record high minimum of 70*F

[South Texas Storms]

Where can you find a WPC QPF 7 day map that shows the counties in Texas? The one I go to on their site only shows all of Texas so it’s hard to pinpoint exact locations. I know I see the more detailed map on here often (resembles the GFS, NAM, etc.)

I’ve been wondering for years where you find those maps.

Pivotal Weather has it.

https://www.pivotalweather.com/maps.php?ds=wpc&p=wpc_qpf_168h_p&r=us_sc&pwplus=1

[wxman22]

Latest QPF map from the WPC. There are two storm systems coming. First one is tomorrow and Thursday and the second one looks to be Sunday/Monday.The weekend storm may be more potent than the one coming tomorrow.

[Lagreeneyes03]

Thursday's 80 percent chance of rain has now become 15-20 percent according to all of the latest forecasts, I guess the system has pushed most of the rain to Friday.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Speaking of weather maps. Is there anywhere we can get point data for the Euro AI model? Would be great for all of us to have. Especially where I am. 5 miles makes a huge difference here near the foothills.

Edit: Did a google search. imweather.com has point weather forecasting! Playing with it right now.

[CaptinCrunch]

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
547 AM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 127 AM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

A weak front is currently draped near the Red River. This front
is not really expected to move much further south into North Texas
as its upper-level support continues to race off to the
east/northeast CONUS. Otherwise, with cloud cover expected to
continue to spread across the region this morning, expect morning
lows to only dip into the mid 50s to mid 60s.

The closed low responsible for our midweek pattern shift is
currently just off the coast of southern California, and will
continue to swing east into the Desert Southwest as we go through
today. As this low gets closer, the weak front will be shunted
back northward, with a dryline setting up just to our west. Over
this afternoon isolated warm-advection showers will begin to
develop, but more focused development is expected near the front
and dryline in our west/northwestern zones early this evening.
These initial storms will be more discrete in nature, and would
have a threat for large hail given the > 7 degC/km lapse rates in
place. The threat of tornadoes with these initial discrete storms
is low, but non-zero, owing to less conducive low-level wind
fields and some increased surface CIN in forecast soundings.
However, there are two factors to watch: 1. wind speeds in the
low-levels of the atmosphere are expected to increase Wednesday
night, and 2. if surface winds become more backed compared to the
low-level winds. If these things occur during the time of the more
supercellular storms, this could locally increase the tornado
threat. This will be something we`ll keep an eye on over the next
24 hours.

Coverage of precipitation will increase overnight through
Thursday as the upper low finally swings into the Southern Plains,
spreading increased lift across the region. Showers and storms
are expected on and off throughout the day, though storm mode
would be a bit messier with lines and clusters expected. The
overall severe threat for Thursday is on the lower end owing to a
lack of substantial instability, however, there remains a
potential for strong wind gusts with any better organized clusters
or bowing segments that are able to develop. The biggest threat
Thursday into Friday will likely transition to more of a
hydrologic one as PWATs > 1.5" and long, skinny CAPE profiles
continue to promote periodic heavy rain during this time. Flooding
concerns will increase, particularly in areas that experience
training showers/storms, and/or are in flood prone, low-lying
spots. In total, most likely precipitation amounts continue to be
a widespread 1-2" with isolated higher amounts up to around 4".

The low will finally swing off to our northeast on Friday,
shunting the Pacific front and rain chances further
east/southeast, and eventually bring the cold front south through
North and Central Texas. This will bring a general end to this
round of showers and storms before our next system arrives later
this weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 127 AM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

Behind Friday`s cold front, we`ll see cooler temperatures to kick
off the weekend. Highs on Saturday will peak in the upper 60s to
mid 70s. Light rain will likely return during the day Saturday as
increasing isentropic ascent spreads atop the post-frontal airmass
ahead of an incoming upper level low off the coast of Southern
California/Baja California. This low is progged to swing northeast
into the Southern Plains as we end the weekend and go into next
week, which will result in increasing rain chances. Exact rain
amounts and locations of highest amounts remain uncertain this far
out in time, as well as any specifics on the potential for severe
or flooding. Continue to keep an eye on the forecast this week as
more details will become available.

Otherwise, cooler temperatures will stick around through early
next week with highs in the 60s to low 70s expected Sunday-Tuesday.

[Brent]

These people up here can't make up their mind about the pattern change lol

One post is about no Arctic air for the next month the other post is talking about Leon Lett during the sleet game on Thanksgiving in 93

Like if we're gonna wait til December fine I would be shocked if it snows before then anyway but please make up your mind

I'm pretty sure our winter up here will peak after the New Year anyway but still

[Gotwood]

These people up here can't make up their mind about the pattern change lol

One post is about no Arctic air for the next month the other post is talking about Leon Lett during the sleet game on Thanksgiving in 93

Like if we're gonna wait til December fine I would be shocked if it snows before then anyway but please make up your mind

I'm pretty sure our winter up here will peak after the New Year anyway but still

Sounds like winter time in the south lol. My personal favorite is all these respected meteorologists are so quick to dismiss “arctic” air yet will never admit they did. It’s clear cold is coming not if but when.

[Wthrfan]

A non social media meterologist will occasionally post things about the weather to a group. He said the current cold forecast is a battle of the models. The Euro AI and Canadian show it being very cold around December 1st while the GFS and Euro show it being much warmer. He acknowledged that the Canadian model tends to handle cold, shallow airmasses better. Will be a good test to see which model is more accurate in handling the cold.

[Ntxw]

One thing the models are converging on, a diving shortwave will be leading the way for the Pacific blocking the weekend of Thanksgiving. This system will likely be the one leading the charge for the colder regime.

[rwfromkansas]

WPC QPF is going nuts. Widespread 4+

[Texoz]

WPC QPF is going nuts. Widespread 4+

I see what you mean.

[Brent]

Now TWC has snow for me to start December for the first time

But yes... I hope it rains a lot before we get to that. Not a single drop for Tulsa all month

[cstrunk]

Bring on the rain. Glad to see a good chuck of Texas in the bullseye. I'm not optimistic for my local chances with this first system tonight through Friday. HRRR/NAM/Euro are keeping most everything west and kills it off when it heads east before moving out. GFS is keeping us on the edge though. Early next week looks better.

[wxman22]

Very efficient rainfall rates in these storms.Just picked up 1 inch.

[Brent]

Very efficient rainfall rates in these storms.Just picked up 1 inch.

Definitely very prolific rain amounts

As boring as it's been that's been a trend this fall when it actually has rained

[snownado]

DFW apparently did set another record high minimum yesterday with a low of only 68*F (the prevoous record was 67*F).

[snownado]

Also, the Flood Watch has been expanded to include all of DFW (not surprising given the radar)...