Texas Spring 2026

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wxman22
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#261 Postby wxman22 » Sun Mar 15, 2026 1:06 pm

Stratton23 wrote:not seeing a big active signal on ensembles the next 2-3 weeks, unfortunately i think the western US heat ridge building beyond monday is just a preview of whats to come this summer , think it wont be until fall when we start see the effects of el nino, baring a weak tropical system, i dont have much faith that its going to be a wet summer


Models already shows rain coming back into the forecast around the end of the month... And the CPC agrees. We're transitioning to El nino and the subtropical jet will start to sneak underneath the ridge.

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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#262 Postby wxman22 » Sun Mar 15, 2026 1:12 pm

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gpsnowman
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#263 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Mar 15, 2026 1:30 pm

86 degrees ties the record high for this date with time to go up. Cold front can't get here soon enough. My walk might wait until tomorrow. More record highs possible next week. Boo.
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#264 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Mar 15, 2026 1:56 pm

wxman22 we will see
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#265 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Mar 15, 2026 2:05 pm

It wont amount to much, but some gefs/ eps members definitely a band of light snow behind this front late monday night- tuesday morning somewhere in central to north texas lol, would be cool to see flurries flying in mid march
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#266 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Mar 15, 2026 2:27 pm

Stratton23 wrote:not seeing a big active signal on ensembles the next 2-3 weeks, that heat ridge in the west is going to SUCK


Like I said yesterday, think we’ll have to wait till the end of the month for rain chances to return. There might be another decently strong front coming later in the month too, but not too confident about that yet.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#267 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun Mar 15, 2026 4:09 pm

Freeze warning expanded for all of DFW. Say goodbye to your fruit, folks.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#268 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun Mar 15, 2026 4:12 pm

Wind not too impressive here, but it's suburban with houses so close to eachother. Looks awful north.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#269 Postby 869MB » Sun Mar 15, 2026 4:31 pm

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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#270 Postby txtwister78 » Sun Mar 15, 2026 4:48 pm

wxman22 wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:not seeing a big active signal on ensembles the next 2-3 weeks, unfortunately i think the western US heat ridge building beyond monday is just a preview of whats to come this summer , think it wont be until fall when we start see the effects of el nino, baring a weak tropical system, i dont have much faith that its going to be a wet summer


Models already shows rain coming back into the forecast around the end of the month... And the CPC agrees. We're transitioning to El nino and the subtropical jet will start to sneak underneath the ridge.

https://i.postimg.cc/xCCBqC0x/WKg34prcp.gif


Exactly. April and May look good on some of the climate models also.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#271 Postby txtwister78 » Sun Mar 15, 2026 4:50 pm

Hit 95 in SA today and broke a 100 year record. Looks like 90's won't be gone for long.
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Re: Texas Spring 2026

#272 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Mar 15, 2026 4:56 pm

txtwister78 how good are the climate models? Thats so far out lol
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