2026 EPAC Season

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HurricaneRyan
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Re: 2026 EPAC Season

#41 Postby HurricaneRyan » Fri Apr 17, 2026 1:22 pm

Even the waters by California look warmer than normal :eek:
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Kingarabian
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Re: 2026 EPAC Season

#42 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Apr 17, 2026 2:34 pm

Waters in the far eastern Pacific have persistent pockets of cooler than normal waters. Could be a long tracker season if disturbances have to wait till they get near 100W to develop.
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DorkyMcDorkface
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Re: 2026 EPAC Season

#43 Postby DorkyMcDorkface » Sat Apr 18, 2026 5:37 am

Kingarabian wrote:Waters in the far eastern Pacific have persistent pockets of cooler than normal waters. Could be a long tracker season if disturbances have to wait till they get near 100W to develop.

I think towards the back half of the season the Pacific coast of Mexico could find itself grappling with powerful recurves with the very positive anoms extending up towards Baja
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cycloneye
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Re: 2026 EPAC Season

#44 Postby cycloneye » Sat Apr 18, 2026 7:04 pm

@HurricaneManWx
The current SST for the ENP is approximately 28.5C whereas the climatological mean for mid-April is closer to 27C.

​The 2026 trajectory is currently positioned several standard deviations above the historical envelope and is currently running above 2024/2025.

While a seasonal rise is normal, the rate of warming over the last 30 days is significantly higher than the 1991-2020 average in the Pacific.

 https://x.com/HurricaneManWx/status/2045641683359138217

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