2026 ENSO Updates

[DorkyMcDorkface]

@RyanMaue
The upcoming "mega El Niño" could be the strongest since the 1877 event that wiped out 4% of the Earth's population due to heat waves, drought and pestilence.

Scientists watching every weather model update are getting "heart palpitations" ❤️

 https://x.com/RyanMaue/status/2046285347664048562

Sensationalizing as he is known to do.

Pretty sure he's being facetious since he's a known climate science denier, which is unfortunate

[cycloneye]

We wake up with this.

[tolakram]

I do agree it's being overly hyped. Let's see what el nino we end up with post spring barrier.

Please also remember that anyone on X with a blue checkmark showing can get paid to make posts, or be paid for people interacting with posts. This encourages outlandish posting to drive more interaction which potentially drives more income. This is most similar to the Youtube model and I think we've all gotten used to avoiding certain YT videos from channels that tend to prioritize engagement over useful content.

Am I accusing everyone with a blue check of hyping things up? No, nor am I accusing everyone with a monetized Youtube channel. Know the source, look at the posting history, use your best judgement.

I am constantly surprised at how well posters on X can predict a hurricane season. And no pesky verification to remind us how accurate they've been.

[Ntxw]

What's left of the cold anomalies in the eastern tropical Pacific is all but gone. I'll make a guess that early May we'll see our first +0.5C or greater weekly reading. +PMM is also looking like it's deepening.

[cycloneye]

We will have to wait until May 14th to know the latest status of ENSO when CPC releases their monthly update. There is a moderate to high probability that they will declare that the data reached El Niño threshold, but also they may wait until June to do it. According to the latest from the sst anomalys, things are warming fast and almost the blues are gone.