Heck, I'll start my Obs thread now (Near Allentown, PA)

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Colin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5086
Joined: Fri Apr 18, 2003 4:17 pm
Location: Catasauqua, PA
Contact:

Heck, I'll start my Obs thread now (Near Allentown, PA)

#1 Postby Colin » Sat Jan 24, 2004 10:58 pm

10:56 PM EDT

Catasauqua, PA

10°F
Scattered Clouds

Under a Winter Storm Watch for 5-9" of snow starting tomorrow night. We'll see! Will update this more tomorrow...I'd appreciate if some people could bump this up...you can post your observations here also!
0 likes   

User avatar
FLguy
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 799
Joined: Mon Dec 29, 2003 5:36 pm
Location: Daytona Beach FL
Contact:

Re: Heck, I'll start my Obs thread now (Near Allentown, PA)

#2 Postby FLguy » Sat Jan 24, 2004 11:06 pm

Colin wrote:10:56 PM EDT

Catasauqua, PA

10°F
Scattered Clouds

Under a Winter Storm Watch for 5-9" of snow starting tomorrow night. We'll see! Will update this more tomorrow...I'd appreciate if some people could bump this up...you can post your observations here also!


well looking at the latest GFS, most of the northeast remains in a good position to get heavy accumulations. the GFS is now closing off the low at H5 and H7 which should allow a decent deformation zone to form, and heavier accumulations further north and west of where they will be from the first wave.

this is slightly different yes (smaller scale), but does anybody recall the trend prior to presidents day 03???
0 likes   

User avatar
FLguy
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 799
Joined: Mon Dec 29, 2003 5:36 pm
Location: Daytona Beach FL
Contact:

#3 Postby FLguy » Sat Jan 24, 2004 11:12 pm

Image

the GFS now much more expansive with the heavy QPF. much of PA/NJ/NYC metro area/Southern new england and new york state in at least 1.00-1.25" of liquid all or mostly all snow.
0 likes   

Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Sat Jan 24, 2004 11:12 pm

Man Colin, you got some right crisp conditions there!!! Ten degrees is a real cool jebwalk!!! I bet the ground there is hard as steel!!! I bet folks there are already doing some decent iceskating on local bodies of water.

Ice Hockey, anyone? I'm Goalie................. LOL!!! :)



WOW you guys get some swell cool weather up there!!!!




-JEB!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! THANK YOU, GREENLAND BLOCK!!!!!!!! :) :)
0 likes   

User avatar
FLguy
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 799
Joined: Mon Dec 29, 2003 5:36 pm
Location: Daytona Beach FL
Contact:

#5 Postby FLguy » Sat Jan 24, 2004 11:13 pm

so basically everybody that gets screwed out of the heavy accumulations from the first event will get it from the second.
0 likes   

User avatar
2001kx
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 156
Joined: Sat Nov 22, 2003 2:00 am
Location: 50 miles north west of st.college(C-PA)

#6 Postby 2001kx » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:02 am

i remember the trend flguy
nws was calling for 2-4 for my area before the storm then once it started it eventually was raised to 10-20
i recieved a little over 12 inches.i dont think anything like that will happen but it would be nice
0 likes   

User avatar
FLguy
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 799
Joined: Mon Dec 29, 2003 5:36 pm
Location: Daytona Beach FL
Contact:

#7 Postby FLguy » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:22 am

2001kx wrote:i remember the trend flguy
nws was calling for 2-4 for my area before the storm then once it started it eventually was raised to 10-20
i recieved a little over 12 inches.i dont think anything like that will happen but it would be nice


no not on that scale. but its similar in the respect that the first piece of energy ended up being weaker than the second. were seeing that trend in the GFS/ETA/and EC ---- but all three have different ideas as to the placement of the best lift (heaviest QPF) and coastal cyclogenesis.
0 likes   

User avatar
2001kx
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 156
Joined: Sat Nov 22, 2003 2:00 am
Location: 50 miles north west of st.college(C-PA)

#8 Postby 2001kx » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:30 am

oh,i see what you mean..sorry i misunderstood what you were saying.
0 likes   

User avatar
FLguy
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 799
Joined: Mon Dec 29, 2003 5:36 pm
Location: Daytona Beach FL
Contact:

#9 Postby FLguy » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:36 am

2001kx wrote:oh,i see what you mean..sorry i misunderstood what you were saying.


thats alright. its impossible though to tell exactly what the EC is up to QPF wise given the 24hr time steps and limited forecast Parameters.
0 likes   

User avatar
FLguy
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 799
Joined: Mon Dec 29, 2003 5:36 pm
Location: Daytona Beach FL
Contact:

#10 Postby FLguy » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:40 am

12am outside of daytona beach:

tmp: 49F
Rhum: 90%
dew pt: 49F
wind: calm
pres: 30.10/S
0 likes   

User avatar
tomboudreau
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1869
Age: 48
Joined: Tue Feb 18, 2003 6:07 pm
Location: Carnegie, PA
Contact:

#11 Postby tomboudreau » Sun Jan 25, 2004 1:21 am

Down to a nice toast -1.5 degrees and we are expecting to bottom out around -4 to -6 tonight. Not a cloud in the sky. Its going to be hard to see how we are going to get a lot mixing taking place in Punxsy. Will start a thread sometime tomorrow...but just wanted to let you know where we stand for the night.

Tom
0 likes   

User avatar
FLguy
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 799
Joined: Mon Dec 29, 2003 5:36 pm
Location: Daytona Beach FL
Contact:

#12 Postby FLguy » Sun Jan 25, 2004 1:37 am

tomboudreau wrote:Down to a nice toast -1.5 degrees and we are expecting to bottom out around -4 to -6 tonight. Not a cloud in the sky. Its going to be hard to see how we are going to get a lot mixing taking place in Punxsy. Will start a thread sometime tomorrow...but just wanted to let you know where we stand for the night.

Tom


lucky you.
0 likes   

Anonymous

Re: Heck, I'll start my Obs thread now (Near Allentown, PA)

#13 Postby Anonymous » Sun Jan 25, 2004 4:02 am

Colin wrote:10:56 PM EDT

Catasauqua, PA

10°F
Scattered Clouds

Under a Winter Storm Watch for 5-9" of snow starting tomorrow night. We'll see! Will update this more tomorrow...I'd appreciate if some people could bump this up...you can post your observations here also!



6°F in the splended Mon valley of Southwest PA...

Looks like about 4" of snow before the changeover Sunday Night.
0 likes   

Anonymous

#14 Postby Anonymous » Sun Jan 25, 2004 4:04 am

tomboudreau wrote:Down to a nice toast -1.5 degrees and we are expecting to bottom out around -4 to -6 tonight. Not a cloud in the sky. Its going to be hard to see how we are going to get a lot mixing taking place in Punxsy. Will start a thread sometime tomorrow...but just wanted to let you know where we stand for the night.

Tom


Yea, it's really cold out there...But it looks like everybody in Western PA is going to get above freezing Monday. Some really juicy warm air coming up from the south, and unlike east of the Apps, we have no mountains to block it
0 likes   


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 10 guests