Quick convenient S/SE TX radar thread

[opera ghost]

Thunder in Heights- no ligtening tha tI've noticed, but I'm in the attic with small windows. Should hit Downtown any moment now... since I'm only a mile or three away. One of my officemates reported that there's a large tree down in the street a few streets over in one of the bigger streets- she said it looked like lightening... but it could have been wind or just an old dead tree ready to fall.

[Suzi Q]

Yeah those trees over there are all real old. I use to live on Yale and always loved the way the whole area had that "old tree" effect. Lots of oaks over there if I'm not mistaken which don't like prolonged rain and tend to rot anyway.

[southerngale]

Ya'll stay safe over there. Our 80% chance was a bust...we've had hardly anything, though I did lose electricity sometime overnight. It was back on by the time I woke up this morning though so I don't know how long it was out.

Very cloudy and windy over here and a little bit of rain every once in a while but it looks like the brunt of this will stay to my west. Sure "looks" like it's going to storm though. lol

Everyone in the Houston area keep us posted as you can.

[crazy4disney]

On this radar, you can see how much we still have coming, and it just keeps forming way down there near Mexico, it looks like.


http://www.myforecast.com/bin/radar_maps.m?city=30578&metric=false&isAnimated=true&mapName=usa_southcentral

[GalvestonDuck]

And it just keeps brushing to the north of me. I havent been back outside or looked out a window, but the cam shots look like it's getting a bit darker and may have started raining a bit (less than a shower though).

From what I can tell on the Brownsville radar, that whole line of rain has moved more easterly now, which means it may finally hit Galveston as it moves northward. But this first batch just tickled the west end.

[Yankeegirl]

The local mets at noon said that it looks like all the moisture is going to go to the wset of the Houston Metro area... Well I am west of the Houston area.. lol... We had that one good spurt of rain around 11 am...It has been very quiet since then.. I watched the weather this morning, and this morning the stuff that was coming was down in South Texas, it took about 2-2.5 hours for it to get in this part of the woods.. So I am guessing its going to be around 2-3 before we get another round... Ill let ya know!


Lisa

[southerngale]

Now the storms are developing to my north and to my east with the bulk being to my west. I'm like in a pocket of nothing. Just call me Storm Repellant.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS.p37cr/si.khgx.shtml

[vbhoutex]

The local mets at noon said that it looks like all the moisture is going to go to the wset of the Houston Metro area...

Uh, how far West of the metro area??? I don't know who you listened to, but stop!!!! they must not have looked at radar or are jsut totallly out of it!!!! Plenty more on the way for us and it is still raining on the West side of Houston well within the Metro area. Radar currently shows plenty more headed this way and it AIN'T gonna miss Houston.

[PTrackerLA]

SG, I understand how you feel. Yesterday we had high rain chances all week long forecasted 50-70 percent range. Well just took a look at our latest NWS discussion out of Lake Charles and we have a big fat 0 as our chance of rain until Friday! This is one of the biggest bust I've seen in a while! Just hot, humid, windy, with cirrus from the storms in Texas for the next few days .

[Johnny]

The NWS says the models are actually pointing at this not being a flood maker as previously thought. I don't know about that. There is nothing but solid heavy rain from here (Houston) to Brownsville and even beyond that moving North Northeastward. It's going to be raining all through the night and into tomorrow. Lots more rain on tap. I work out of the Greenspoint area and that first line that moved through around 11:30 this afternoon was a serious soaker which turned the skies coal black. Gotta love it.

[crazy4disney]

Don't put away the rain slickers just yet...


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
303 PM CDT TUE JUN 8 2004

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

.DISCUSSION...
FIRST WAVE OF RAIN MOVING OUT OF THE CWA THIS AFTN BUT IT LOOKS LIKE MORE ON THE WAY PER MOSAIC RADAR LOOPS. HOWEVER THESE NEXT PLUMES DO NOT SEEM QUITE AS ORGANIZED AS THE FIRST ONE AND THEY AREA ALSO MOVING JUST AS FAST. WILL LIKELY KEEP THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE WHOLE CWA FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT SHADE POPS A BIT HIGHER OVER THE WESTERN ZONES. ODDS ARE DECENT THAT WE WILL SEE AN EXTENSION OF THE FFA TOMORROW SHOULD THE MODELS VERIFY. 12Z RUNS KEEPING THE SHEAR AXIS OVER PARTS JUST WEST OF SE TX THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE FINALLY MOVING IT ACROSS THE AREA THURS. THE PROXIMITY OF THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH A PERSISTENT TROPICAL AIRMASS AND ASSORTED JET MAXIMAS EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW ALOFT SHOULD HELP PRODUCE SOME DECENT WIDESPREAD PCPN TOMORROW.

HOWEVER PROGS LOWER PWS AND POPS ON STARTING THURSDAY BUT NOT REALLY BUYING INTO THIS GIVEN THE LINGERING ONSHORE WINDS AND THE DECIDEDLY WEAK FLOW ALOFT..SO WILL LIKELY KEEP RAIN CHANCES ON THE CHANCE SIDE FOR THE TIME BEING FOR THIS TIMEFRAME. A MORE ZONAL UPPER FLOW FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND AS VERY WEAK HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A MORE TYPICAL SUMMER-
LIKE PCPN/CLOUD PATTERN FOR THE WEEKEND. ALL QUIET FROM THE LOOKS OF THE EXTENDED GUIDANCE FOR THE MOST OF NEXT WEEK (AS THE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE DESERT SW). BUT THERE ARE SOME HINTS AT SOMETHING (POSSIBLY POP PRODUCING) BY THE END OF THE WEEK EMBEDDED IN THE NW FLOW ALOFT.

[Colin]

Stay safe guys and keep us all updated!

[GalvestonDuck]

Dang, now I feel like I cried wolf to the coworkers when I emailed them and warned them to bring umbrellas today. We got diddly-squat here.

[crazy4disney]

I kept waiting for the rest of the rain to move in, but it never did... it must have gone east of us. But did you read the latest discussion? They sound kinda confused... the forecast sounds totally up in the air. We might need sunglasses tomorrow, we might need waders. LOL

-gina-

[vbhoutex]

There has been a lot of dry air pulled into this system this afternoon which helped to quiet things down. There is another big slug of rain moving NE out of Northern Mexico this evening so we may not be out of the river yet!! 1.84" here at the house so far today.

[crazy4disney]

Why do the media forecasters vary so much??

The NWS forecast says we have a 60% chance of heavy rain today. On 740am - "Houston's most accurate weather forecast" -- they said 50%. On TWC, the local forecast actually showed a little partly-cloudy icon, and gave a forecast of 30%. How can they all vary so much, all the time?? At least we know here what sources to go to and generally rely on, but what about the people who only listen to the radio, or only watch TWC?

/rant off

-gina-

[vbhoutex]

Long story short Gina is that those who rely on the media get only their slant on the situation. And that slant is dictated by how much time they have to present it, which models they may hug for their forecasts, what affilliations(such as accuwx) they may have, how well educated they are about the weather, etc. To me it is really sad that there is no really "official" public source that is easily available to all at all times for the area forecasts.

[Suzi Q]

EXACTLY RIGHT DAVID!!!!!!

[vbhoutex]

Looking at the radar and warnings shows almost all of the rain has stayed to our West today, thank goodness. However, one of the FFWarnings I saw posted is for where we are going this weekend in Johnson City. I hope my friends don't wash away before we get there!! Looks like lots of training storms over the I-35 corridor and to it's West up to about 75 miles. I have the feeling that all of that may make it's way back East before this whole system moves away and/or plays out. I HOPE NOT!!!