As it looks now the atlantic basin will be tranquil from tropical cyclone formation for the time being.The last attempt of a system to try to develop into a tropical depression was a well defined tropical wave imo a significant one for mid june comming out of the eastern atlantic however the upper shear was too much for that wave and it has been teared apart into pieces.
Now we have to look for candidates that might have a chance for tropical cyclone formation in the atlantic.Will it form from an upper low that may form near the bahamas,will it form from a tropical wave moving from east to west in the tropical atlantic,will something form in the Bay of campeche,will something form in the sw caribbean sea,will something form in the western atlantic.Yes to many WILLS right but no answers at the moment to those interrogants but I can say that when the MJO or (MADDEN JULIAN OCCILLATION) kicks into the atlantic basin by july and when that semipermanent trough of TUTT weakens then things will be in place for us to begin to see tropical cyclones in the atlantic and begin to use those charts.So be patient because the time will come for cyclones to move around the basin and we will be tired of tracking 2-4 systems at a time.
I can see the boring word being posted sooner rather than later in the forum from some folks but anyway june and july are slow months and in many seasons things haved started in early to mid august and it has been an active season.So the question is for how long the atlantic basin will be quiet and not see tropical storm Alex form?
