The waiting game continues

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 16, 2004 7:44 am

Well we are now passed mid july and nothing has developed even a tropical depression although some may argue that the low pressure that caused that tragic event in Haiti and the Dominican Republic in late may was a TD.As we wait for the mid latitud pattern to move more north as it normally does every summer we will see some blobs,naked swirls, some invests up and model scenarios with hope that one of those may be our first TD and TS of the season. As august rolls in in a couple of weeks for sure things will be in place for the season to get going but folks not every hurricane season is the same because in many of the pasts seasons the first storm has formed in early to mid august and from that point those seasons haved been fairly active with the 1992 season which started late with Andrew but as it was an el nino season it was not the above average season like 1998 was when the first storm formed at july 28 and it took off from there and we know how active it was 14 named storms.So be patient as the time will come when we will be following not one but several systems at one time when the peak of the season arrives so hang there guys.

#2 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 16, 2004 11:28 am

Any replies for my thread about the truth about waiting for the first storm? I know that some who wish every blob develops and not have patience will not replie here.

Aimless · #3 Postby **Aimless** » Fri Jul 16, 2004 12:20 pm

I'm learning quite a bit about what does or does not influnce the development of storms by watching the blobs flare up and disapate ... I think of them as dry runs...(... or would that be wet runs??) :-)

#4 Postby **bevgo** » Fri Jul 16, 2004 12:31 pm

You are so right! Soon it will be busy and we will wish it would slow down. LOL

Opal storm · #5 Postby **Opal storm** » Fri Jul 16, 2004 12:36 pm

I agree.Now people are crying saying it's going to be a slow season,but when August/September comes around their jaws are going to hit the floor.

#6 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 16, 2004 12:43 pm

It is normal what is going not seeing anything develop thru mid july.Now if this inactivity continues thru late august or early september then it is cataloged as unusual to have the first storm forming by then.

The Dark Knight · #7 Postby **The Dark Knight** » Fri Jul 16, 2004 1:31 pm

I agree, there have been a lot of seasons that have gone just like this......at the end of the season, things got bad........

Website · #8 Postby **Brent** » Fri Jul 16, 2004 1:43 pm

I think we got spoiled by last year when we had Claudette make landfall on July 15th.

#9 Postby **Hurricanehink** » Fri Jul 16, 2004 2:36 pm

You are exactly right, Brent. Not to mention we had Ana in April and Bill in June. Last year was ceretainly an oddity.

The waiting game continues

The waiting game continues

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