Bonnie Advisories

[Skywatch_NC]

I hope the TD holds together.. We need to keep the action in the tropics going.. Plus if it's forecast to slow down.. That could help it out

I know what you mean, John.

Because at least for me here in NC starting Friday through at least Tuesday...is a 'boring' wx forecast.

[Derek Ortt]

yeah. I may have to change tonight. But I see this as a LIli where it was carried as a storm for 2 days when it was an open wave

[Guest]

Rainband, it is an old map because it is a map of claudette of 2003.

[WilloughbyStormWatcher]

TD#2 is still alive and will stay alive. I predict it will reach Tropical Storm Status within the next 48hrs and Hurricane status within the next 72 - 120hrs and that's my official stand on that one.

Just be patient and watch. This one is surely going to surprise you all. And for the less experienced weather watchers, you might want to check out the weather patterns in that part of the world, they will tell the tale and that's PRECISELY why the NHC is keeping the advisories as well as the long term forecasts.

[yoda]

I'd be careful there buddy. Some of the mets here won't take lightly what you just posted.

[Stormchaser16]

I have to politely disagree, surface obs and recon obs found nothing showing a closed center of circulation....

However I did read that somewhere reported sustain winds of 35 MPH..... but of course without any W winds, cant have much development.

It is still moving too fast, however as it begins to move more WNW and then slow down, it should have a little time to get itself together

[WilloughbyStormWatcher]

I'd be careful there buddy. Some of the mets here won't take lightly what you just posted.

I know, I do like to stir things up but history suggests that this thing isn't dead yet but we'll see what happens.

And if I'm wrong, I'm wrong, no quams about that.

[yoda]

I'd be careful there buddy. Some of the mets here won't take lightly what you just posted.

I know, I do like to stir things up but history suggests that this thing isn't dead yet but we'll see what happens.

And if I'm wrong, I'm wrong, no quams about that.

I understand, just your last paragraph in your post above may get some a little irritated at ya. I'm not, though.

[Stormchaser16]

TD#2 is still alive and will stay alive. I predict it will reach Tropical Storm Status within the next 48hrs and Hurricane status within the next 72 - 120hrs and that's my official stand on that one.

Just be patient and watch. This one is surely going to surprise you all. And for the less experienced weather watchers, you might want to check out the weather patterns in that part of the world, they will tell the tale and that's PRECISELY why the NHC is keeping the advisories as well as the long term forecasts.

Anyone who strays from these ideas either knows something that none of us know (which isn't likely) or doesn't know much of anything and is just spewing off at the mouth.

Doesnt know much of anything...... so those here who are going by the RECON obs and SURFACE obs that say no closed circulation no NOTHING? ouch

[Stormchaser16]

Well you guys KNEW that it was gonna get ME stirred lol......

[WilloughbyStormWatcher]

I'd be careful there buddy. Some of the mets here won't take lightly what you just posted.

I know, I do like to stir things up but history suggests that this thing isn't dead yet but we'll see what happens.

And if I'm wrong, I'm wrong, no quams about that.

I understand, just your last paragraph in your post above may get some a little irritated at ya. I'm not, though.

Yeah, I know what you meant the first time and I probably sub-consciously put it there to stir up like a hurricane would, just a little corny humor I guess.

[WilloughbyStormWatcher]

Well you guys KNEW that it was gonna get ME stirred lol......

Just keep watching StormChaser, cus my gut is telling me this thing will be a TS in the next 24 - 48 hours.

Only time will tell.

[Stormchaser16]

I dont disagree that it may eventually become something, however right now, you surely must agree there is little evidence of a closed LLC yes?

[yoda]

Agree with you the Council does not!!

[Derek Ortt]

Anyone who blindly repeats what someone else tells him is definately not a scientist. A scientist examines the data to arrive at a conclusion. A parrot just repeats what he is told

[Stormchaser16]

Awwwwwww...... darn, it was kind of humorous actually

[yoda]

Awwwwwww...... darn, it was kind of humorous actually

I know, but this was gonna get out of hand very quickly and very soon....

So... TD#2 is alive but barely... any chance of Bonnie it becoming you think StormChaser?

[Stormchaser16]

Yes Id say it has a chance, it should begin to slow down as it moves more towards the WNW around the western edge of the high pressure..... if the UL environment is still favorable (which it should be) then it has a chance at closing off a circulation

[Guest]

A scientist actually means

"A scientist is a person who is expert in an area of science and who uses scientific methods in research.

Traditionally mathematics has been grouped with the sciences, but in modern times people tend not to regard mathematicians as scientists. Mathematical discoveries generally appear to be arrived at differently than scientific ones, and experiments as they are usually conceived are unable to supply mathematical proof. Yet the class of people called "scientists" includes theorists who never do experiments, and even pure experimentalists often employ mathematics and deduction to arrive at their conclusions. At the same time, mathematical proofs may proceed by way of an example or a demonstration, which share something in common with experiments. The distinction between math and science is therefore not clear cut."

[Derek Ortt]

and your definition is the one that could be described to explain the manner in which I coduct my research