Worldwide Tropical Update: 5 August

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senorpepr
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Worldwide Tropical Update: 5 August

#1 Postby senorpepr » Wed Aug 04, 2004 11:47 pm

Hurricane (Cat 3) Alex (01L): at 05/0300Z...
Position near 35.8N 74.6W (800 mi SW of Cape Race, Newfoundland)
Movement is toward the ENE at 25 mph
Maximum sustained winds are 120 mph
Minimum central pressure is 957 mb / 28.26"
Dvorak estimates: 5.0/5.0

With warmer-than-normal ocean waters below him, Alex becomes the strongest hurricane at such a latitude. Expect slight weakening as Alex nears cooler waters, with extratropical transition occurring over the next few days.

Tropical Depression Malou (15W): at 05/0000Z...
Position near 37.6N 134.9E (195 mi NNW of Kyoto, Japan
Movement toward the NNE at 24
Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph
Minimum central pressure is 1000 mb / 29.53"
Dvorak estimates: 2.5/3.0

Expect Malou to dissipate over the next day or two.

Tropical Storm Meranti (14W): at 05/0000Z...
Position near 25.1N 165.8E (1045 mi W of Midway Island)
Movement toward the NNE at 9 mph
Maximum sustained winds are 50 mph
Minimum central pressure is 991 mb / 29.26"
Dvorak estimates: 3.5/3.5

Expect Meranti to slowly deepen into a weak hurricane before reaching cooler waters and becoming extratropical over the next week.

Remnants of Two-L (02L): at 05/0000Z...
Position near 13.6N 65.0W
Movement toward the W at 23 mph
Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph
Minimum central pressure is 1011 mb / 29.85"
Dvorak estimates: 1.5/2.5

Recon and satellite forces the NHC to downgrade TD 02L into an open wave. Recon will continue to investigate this system should it redevelop.

Invest (92L): at 05/0000Z...
Position near 16.9N 37.7W
Movement toward the W at 15 mph
Maximum sustained winds are 25 mph
Minimum central pressure is 1014 mb / 29.94
Dvorak estimates: Unavailable

92L has weakened, but will still be monitored for development.

Invest (95E): at 04/1800Z...
Position near 9.0N 88.5W
Movement is undefined
Maximum sustained winds are 25 mph
Minimum central pressure is 1009 mb / 29.80"
Dvorak estimates: Too weak

95E is a weak wave in the EPAC
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 05, 2004 6:31 am

Remember Mike 2 days ago when I posted in your update thread that 92L would be dropped well now it may have a chance down the road and that may be the reason to not drop it.
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#3 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 05, 2004 9:43 am

The last 3 Dvorak estimates for Alex were 5.5, and now 92L is receiving 1.0
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#4 Postby Hurricanehink » Thu Aug 05, 2004 2:44 pm

Nice update!
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#5 Postby HalloweenGale » Thu Aug 05, 2004 3:36 pm

when ALEX become extratropical, where will he hit?
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