Premature north turn?

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EDR1222
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Premature north turn?

#1 Postby EDR1222 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 10:26 pm

11 Pm NHC discussion talks about a possible premature northerly course. Any thoughts?

Possible changes?

Thanks
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Guest

#2 Postby Guest » Thu Aug 12, 2004 10:27 pm

no way.
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#3 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Aug 12, 2004 10:49 pm

Very possible...
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#4 Postby Guest » Thu Aug 12, 2004 10:50 pm

we've got a tie so far. anyone want to break it? :)
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#5 Postby tallywx » Thu Aug 12, 2004 10:52 pm

Still slightly, and key is slightly, west of north. I'm thinking south of Tampa for landfall (it's hard to hold a due north course for too long)...maybe Sarasota or down around Venice.
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Floridacaner
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Premature north movement

#6 Postby Floridacaner » Thu Aug 12, 2004 10:55 pm

Off the 11pm discussion:

THE POSSIBILITY OF A PREMATURE NORTHWARD MOTION AND THE FORECAST
SIZE OF THE STORM REQUIRES TROPICAL STORM WATCHES TO BE EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. THE FORECAST TRACK
REQUIRES EXTENSION OF HURRICANE WARNINGS UP THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES INTO SOUTH CAROLINA.
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kevin

#7 Postby kevin » Thu Aug 12, 2004 10:57 pm

Yeah, the more I see the more I agree.. looks like north to me. And yep, that's an apology.
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Guest

#8 Postby Guest » Thu Aug 12, 2004 10:59 pm

the Key West long range radar loop does look as if Tampa my be lucky and get the west side of Charlie. Further south is what looks more likely based on teh this novices HO.
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#9 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:10 pm

Ugh... I still don't like the uncertainty with this track. :(

Maybe it'll become more clear in the morning. I have my doubts.
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