Frances Advisories

[Guest]

yeah, this advisory really was no surprise.

[Guest]

Is forecast to get to 120 mph... and that is conservative.... this will not be a friendly week from mother nature.

very conservative, judging by the grids ive seen upstream

[Skywatch_NC]

Another definite headliner for the coming days besides the Republican National Convention.

Eric

[Guest]

Yes, I think it will become a major. There are also the systems behind this one we have to watch! We definitly have a busy 2 week period ahead of us.

[TerryAlly]

I find that funny. Had it not been for Charley these guys would not even think about giving this a mention.

It is not unsual. Wire services normally publish a story whenever a cyclone forms. It's routine stuff.

[Air Force Met]

Good to see them mention the eyewall cycles.

"After that...the intensification trend is leveled since at least one concentric eyewall cycle should occur in the next 72 hours due to the current small diameter eye. "

THAT is exactly why I did not expect Charley to get so strong. The eye was already so small...8 or so miles across. I was amazed to see a storm with such a small diamter eye go through an eyewall cycle like it did. Usually...6-8 miles is as small as you can get before the storm begins to fill. Charley took it down to 4 miles or so.

[dhweather]

Entertainment for all.......until landfall

[dhweather]

I still think Charley had to hit a warm water eddy for that quick increase,
particularly with its small eye structure.

[dhweather]

I find that funny. Had it not been for Charley these guys would not even think about giving this a mention.

http://www.yahoo.com/_ylh=X3oDMTB1M2EzY ... -/s/208975

Amazing how they'll pay attention after so much damage and destruction and death.

[Steve]

Agreed AFM. I just posted a thread about how much I like his writeups (hadn't seen this one yet).

Steve

[Pebbles]

Good call by all NHC agrees

[Brent]

Cat 3 on Saturday Morning!

[HurricaneQueen]

We're on St. Maarten as well and starting to get concerned. No one else is even mentioning it. Once again the tourists will be caught unaware. So typical of a tourist destination. We see in it Fl as well but not this degree.

Let's hope she takes a jog north!

[dhweather]

Even the NHC admits little knowledge on the intensification process.

With that said, I say cat 3 on Sunday.

[Matthew5]

I say low end cat4 on Sunday!

[ChaserUK]

Cat 5 next week with stadium eye to boot?

[dixiebreeze]

for Florida --- or entire SE Coast for that matter:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

[B-Bear]

Cat 6 by Monday morning, for sure.

[Guest]

Cat 5 next week with stadium eye to boot?

settle down, we know you're no where near this storm so it's easy for you to get excited about a cat5

[chris_fit]

I know it's way to early to say....

These things appear to be chasing me...
Was home for Summer at Sarasota.... Got a nice hello from Charley

Came to Melbourne for College and now Frances is headed roughly in this direction I guess for the house warming party