NW Movement

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wilmington-nc
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NW Movement

#1 Postby wilmington-nc » Thu Sep 02, 2004 1:48 pm

Looking at the satellite, Frances has been heading NW for quite awhile now and is traveling North of the major islands. If this trend continues, then South Carolina should be prepared.......

No negative comments needed......just an observation.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
Last edited by wilmington-nc on Thu Sep 02, 2004 1:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Thu Sep 02, 2004 1:49 pm

:lol:
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Lindaloo
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#3 Postby Lindaloo » Thu Sep 02, 2004 1:51 pm

wobble wobble wobble
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das8929

#4 Postby das8929 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 1:56 pm

This is an indication of the ridge starting to push against it. Watch for a movement to the west in the coming hours.
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Guest

#5 Postby Guest » Thu Sep 02, 2004 1:58 pm

Houstoner wrote::lol:


:roll:

Its always best to be prepared. :)
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dennis1x1

#6 Postby dennis1x1 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 1:58 pm

why would the "ridge pushing against it" initially cause a more northward component and THEN eventually a west component.

that makes no sense whatsoever....
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das8929

#7 Postby das8929 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 1:59 pm

Sorry I didnt exactly word it right. Im not that much of an expert, but I got some kind of info that the NW movement was part of the ridge or something.
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dennis1x1

#8 Postby dennis1x1 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:04 pm

well the nw movement is due to the western periphery of the ridge....but not by a strenghtening ridge..a strengthening ridge would result in a more westerly movement....but it wouldnt be preceded by a nw turn....


the nw turn is complete.....should hold 300-315 until landfall now....

the impending miami doom sharpwesturncasters are a little out there at this point.
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T'Bonz
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#9 Postby T'Bonz » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:04 pm

I just looked at the radar. Last movement was a jog to the west.
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#10 Postby WeatherNLU » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:05 pm

I have to agree, it might even be NNW.
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flair
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#11 Postby flair » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:08 pm

The 11AM NHC track had Frances going between San Salvador and Rum Cay, and then going over Cat Island. The storm is instead about to go right over San Salvador and looks like it will pass Cat Island to the north.

Just an observation. I'm a newbie.
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dennis1x1

#12 Postby dennis1x1 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:09 pm

now that the inner core appears to be in disarray precise tracking not quite as easy.....

as time goes by this definitely looks like more than just a erc......inner core will need to completely develop again........
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x-y-no
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#13 Postby x-y-no » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:14 pm

Yeah there was a definite NW move for about 4 or 5 hours. I'm expecting a return to WNW though.

This move was big enough to improve our chances here in Dade county, though. Palm Beach is still looking likely to me as the landfall point.
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ilmc172pilot
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#14 Postby ilmc172pilot » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:59 pm

Looks like a NW move to me, but they say that a high is gonna push it back to more west
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Stormcenter
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True

#15 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Sep 02, 2004 3:17 pm

ilmc172pilot wrote:Looks like a NW move to me, but they say that a high is gonna push it back to more west


Yes Steve Lyons on the Weather Channel just (2:50pm CDT) said that
about Frances being block from a any northward movement
once it reached the Palm Beach coastline.
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Bane
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#16 Postby Bane » Thu Sep 02, 2004 3:18 pm

Definitely moving northwest, just as it was supposed to do.
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