Recon to go into Ivan Early tuesday Morning

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Brent
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Recon to go into Ivan Early tuesday Morning

#1 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 04, 2004 3:13 pm

In the pre-dawn hours. Also a research flight has been scheduled for Monday.

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. CONTINUE 3-HRLY FIXES ON FRANCES IF STILL A THREAT.
B. G-IV MISSION ON IVAN DEPARTING 06/1730Z.
C. BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON IVAN NEAR 12.5N 56.0W
AT 07/0600Z.
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PurdueWx80
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#2 Postby PurdueWx80 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 3:16 pm

Those guys are either having the time of their lives...or won't have any lining left in their stomach at the end of this season.
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abajan
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#3 Postby abajan » Sat Sep 04, 2004 3:23 pm

Tuesday morning is way too late for my liking! Monday afternoon would let me rest a little easier.
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#4 Postby TerryAlly » Sat Sep 04, 2004 4:06 pm

abajan wrote:Tuesday morning is way too late for my liking! Monday afternoon would let me rest a little easier.


The timing here is fine ... remember that aircraft don't go east of 55 west and this is one of the few times (within recent years) that I have seen recon actually fly out to 56W.

The Gulfstream jet will sample the environment around the system to gather the data required for helping in forecasting the track. It does not fly into the hurricane.

The actual fixes will then start at 56W ... I am quite impressed that they are actually doing this! (Perhaps I might get to fly with them!)

On another side ... the forecast track has not been verifying. Instead of a WNW track by this afternoon Ivan is still confined to the ITCZ doldrums.

I would not be surprised if it curves really waaay south into the southern Caribbean Sea.

At of 5 pm I am not persuaded that Barbados is in any potential danger come Tuesday. Of course, I will reassess in 24 hours.
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