Newbie question...

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Varanidae
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 14
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 8:22 am
Location: Destin, Fl

Newbie question...

#1 Postby Varanidae » Sun Sep 05, 2004 9:52 am

First... my thoughts and heartfelt wishes are with everyone dealing with the aftermath of Charley and now Frances... My question my be a little silly but I have to ask as I am in the Ft Walton/Destin area and there is a chance Frances may come in our general direction... Once she gets into the Gulf, I am assuming that she will not have much time to reconsolidate and the most we could get is a strong tropical storm or a weak hurricane... there is no chance she could stall out in the gulf and pick up steam right? Please say yes.
0 likes   
Top
sea oat
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 107
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 10:24 am
Location: Fort Walton Beach, Florida

#2 Postby sea oat » Sun Sep 05, 2004 9:57 am

unfornately as slow as this system has been moving, if she stays over the gulf for any length of time she has the possibility of restrengthing as the gulf is very very warm. stay on your toes!!!
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#3 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 05, 2004 9:57 am

It *looks* like she will make landfall east of you in the Apalachicola area tomorrow as a Category One hurricane. You'll be on the weak side if that happens.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Opal storm

#4 Postby Opal storm » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:07 am

Like Brent said,they are forecasting it to hit east of you,if that happens you'll get some rain and that's about it.But the track continues to change over and over again,I think the NHC will have a much better idea of where on the Gulf coast Frances will hit,after it crosses S FL.I would keep a close eye on the track.
0 likes   
Top
Varanidae
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 14
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 8:22 am
Location: Destin, Fl

#5 Postby Varanidae » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:18 am

yes.... that seems to be what they are forcasting now. But I have been watching this for a while now and I have noticed that it keeps changing back and forth. There seems to have been less "this is what the storm is going to do" and more "this is what it might do" with this storm that I have seen in the past years. I know its hard to tell what is going to happen but there seems to be so much more uncertainty with this storm than usual. I dont envy the peole who have to forcast these events, I sure wouldnt want to be 'responsible' for making that call. My hat goes off to them. I dont generally harbor anthropomorphic tendancies but mother nature sure does seem to have a bone to pick with florida this year. :(
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stephanie
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23843
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:53 am
Location: Glassboro, NJ

#6 Postby Stephanie » Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:23 am

Yes she does I'm afraid Varanidae. :(

Actually, I think she's playing catchup.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cajungal, MarioProtVI and 140 guests