18Z Eta for Frances...laughable....but

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PurdueWx80
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18Z Eta for Frances...laughable....but

#1 Postby PurdueWx80 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:25 pm

it is the only model I've seen taking Frances on her current W to WSW heading. It stalls her over the eastern Gulf then takes her slowly north to the Big Bend and jumps her to the Atlantic coast of Georgia. Crazy.
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#2 Postby huricanwatcher » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:33 pm

link please?
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roostercogburn

#3 Postby roostercogburn » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:35 pm

Yes lets see the link.
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#4 Postby kmanWX » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:38 pm

roostercogburn wrote:Yes lets see the link.
umm...weird.. well consider that the model has no tropical bias what so ever i guess everything is possible..
Last edited by kmanWX on Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#5 Postby huricanwatcher » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:39 pm

kmanWX wrote:
roostercogburn wrote:Yes lets see the link.
umm...weird..


how was that weird?
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#6 Postby PurdueWx80 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:40 pm

Do you not believe me or something? Geez!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/
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#7 Postby kmanWX » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:43 pm

huricanwatcher wrote:
kmanWX wrote:
roostercogburn wrote:Yes lets see the link.
umm...weird..


how was that weird?
i dont beleive nothing that model is saying from the get go plus dont trust the ETa past 50-h lol
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#8 Postby huricanwatcher » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:44 pm

ok ... so you totally lost me...

(but i have been lost before)
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#9 Postby PurdueWx80 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:44 pm

Ok, I lied - there is another model showing the path that Frances has taken - it was initialized at 00Z last night - 22 km WRF. It is a few hours fast but it had it over Tampa at 21 Z....then goes to near or just west of Apalachicola as a 70 kt storm in 39 hours (tomorrow morning).

Image
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