Anyone ever hear of hurrevac 2000?

[ilmc172pilot]

it's the program the department of defence ues and emergency management?....my brother works for the state and showed me the Ivan path on this...it shows it getting stronger and crossing cuba and then on to the east coast, it also has previous tracks and was right on the money with frances

[air360]

hmm...the name itself sounds familier...but i dont think ive ever seen anything on it. Is it a gvmt program? or can it be accessed by the public? In the thing your friend showed you of Ivan...what part of the EC did it show it affecting?

[ilmc172pilot]

It's a Gov program, and cant be used by the public as faras I know, but it had Ivan to the north east of Florida as a cat 4 by friday I think it was

[air360]

gvmt program or not..anything attempting to predict that far out is pure speculation and guessing...if it was possible to really predict that far out then it would be a widely known and used program:)

**im not saying anythign against you...thanks for the wonderful information...i just dont want people reading this and thinking its for sure coming to the EC**

would be a interesting program to "play" with..to bad it cant be accessed by general public

[ilmc172pilot]

I agree...far too early to tell where it is going, but it would be a fun program to play with......I'll check and see if the public can access it

[FritzPaul]

I'm sure now or the next day models will diverge all over the place after 120 hr. One model will finally get the correct path due to random probability, and not due to the accuracy of the model.

[greeng13]

i think this page of hurrevac describes it pretty well.

http://www.hurrevac.com/

[greeng13]

or shall i say it describes that not just anyone can use it

[PurdueWx80]

It was right on the money w/ Frances because their data comes from the NHC. It is not an independent prediction model, but is based entirely on the NHC forecast. The NHC did VERY will w/ Frances track, even if it was too slow in the Bahamas.