Ivan Advisories

B-Bear · #2421 Postby **B-Bear** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:32 pm

I have a sick feeling he's going to level Kingston as well. Population of 600,000 there. Going to make what happened at Grenada look like a love tap.

miamijaaz · #2422 Postby **miamijaaz** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:32 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:I am confident enough that this will miss Miami that I currently have no intentions of making any storm rpeparations at the present time

I live in the Gables and what you're saying is music to my ears...

yoda · #2423 Postby **yoda** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:32 pm

charleston_hugo_veteran wrote:
yoda wrote:
huricanwatcher wrote:gonna ride the coast........ unfortunately. IMO

Actually no... it makes landfall again in the NC/SC border line..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_144l.gif

....o.k. yoda....thats if you believe in the gfs....be nice!!

I am being nice.. sorry if I came across as not being nice.

das8929 · #2424 Postby **das8929** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:32 pm

920 MB and still a Cat 4??? Wow :eek:

.

huricanwatcher · #2425 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:33 pm

yoda wrote:
huricanwatcher wrote:gonna ride the coast........ unfortunately. IMO

Actually no... it makes landfall again in the NC/SC border line..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_144l.gif

OUCH

greeng13 · #2426 Postby **greeng13** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:33 pm

in these VORTEX reports what does the FL mean in the end of the report?

i.e. MAX FL WIND 144 KT NE QUAD 1835Z

btsgmdad · #2427 Postby **btsgmdad** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:34 pm

Remember, usually pressure drops then the wind speed increase follows later.

calidoug · #2428 Postby **calidoug** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:34 pm

Probably not still cat4 by 8pm... winds follow pressure a tad...

canegrl04 · #2429 Postby **canegrl04** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:34 pm

Here we go again :blowup:

JQ Public · #2430 Postby **JQ Public** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:35 pm

Does a new vortex mean an Eyewall replacement? If not why hasn't Ivan had as many as frances did. I swear frances had two a day.

#2431 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:35 pm

yoda wrote:
charleston_hugo_veteran wrote:
yoda wrote:
huricanwatcher wrote:gonna ride the coast........ unfortunately. IMO

Actually no... it makes landfall again in the NC/SC border line..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_144l.gif

....o.k. yoda....thats if you believe in the gfs....be nice!!

I am being nice.. sorry if I came across as not being nice.

I was joking.... :lol:

I don't want to see anything with S.C. on it....lol

huricanwatcher · #2432 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:35 pm

BOMB!!!!!!!!!!! phase and dont mean weakening.....

Matthew5 · #2433 Postby **Matthew5** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:35 pm

If he hits Kington as a cat5 or a higher cat4. Its going to make that city that Charley hit in southwest Florida looks like if not 10 times worst.

#2434 Postby **Mattie** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:35 pm

That whole site is AMAZING! Thanks for the link!

#2435 Postby **Air Force Met** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:35 pm

greeng13 wrote:in these VORTEX reports what does the FL mean in the end of the report?

i.e. MAX FL WIND 144 KT NE QUAD 1835Z

FL=Flight Level.

Max winds at the flight level of the aircraft...in this case it is 700 mb...or b/w 8000 and 10000 feet.

#2436 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:36 pm

A 1 mb drop isn't necessarily all that big. It is well within the range of errors of finding the lowest pressure in the actual eye. If we see another blowup of deep, cold convection tonight during or before the nocturnal max, the outer eyewall mentioned earlier should contract...allowing for another period of intensification. The outflow and water temp profile certainly seem conducive to this.

huricanwatcher · #2437 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:36 pm

hey charleston_hugo_veteran, hugo was the demise of my roof.........

maybe ivan will finish the job.........

(checking insurance for replacement cost)

Bane · #2438 Postby **Bane** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:36 pm

AVN remains out to lunch. It sends this thing northeast and then turns it nearly due west making landfall just north of Wilmington.

#2439 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:37 pm

News just coming from the Dominican Republic and I saw here in Puerto Rico at local TV reports that 4 childern drowned in el malecon near Santo Domingo as coastal flooding occured there as result of the big waves created by Ivan.

There is no question that the name Ivan will be retired as the death toll rises first in Grenada and Barbados and now in the DR.

#2440 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:38 pm

huricanwatcher wrote:hey charleston_hugo_veteran, hugo was the demise of my roof.........

maybe ivan will finish the job.........

(checking insurance for replacement cost)

lol...HUGO was the demise of my brain.....lol....STAY AWAY IVAN!

Ivan Advisories

Ivan indirectly claims more lives this time in DR

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