NEW INVEST 94L for low pressure near Florida

x-y-no · #21 Postby **x-y-no** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 2:46 pm

LaBreeze wrote:What seems to be blowing it apart at the moment?

Shear from the southwest.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.html

KeyLargoDave · #22 Postby **KeyLargoDave** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 2:50 pm

Is this a sign of surface circulation? Molasses Reef (off Upper Keys) reporting WSW at 12 k, points north of that Ivans-spawn blob of moisture have NE winds.

LaBreeze · #23 Postby **LaBreeze** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 2:52 pm

Is the sheer expected to let up or continue?

KeyLargoDave · #24 Postby **KeyLargoDave** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 2:57 pm

TWC just said there is a sign of surface circulation just east of south florida. Not sure if that's verified, but I understand we have an investigation area now.

#25 Postby **TampaFl** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 2:58 pm

DAVE440 · #26 Postby **DAVE440** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:03 pm

Here's a current shot of intellicast and nexrad radar from Miami.

Some spin is clearly visible on radar. Cant tell exactly where a low pressure center might be...but appears to my novice eye it might be over the ocean east of Broward County. Will this be..."the spawn of Ivan?"

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLocalWide.asp?loc=kmia&seg=LocalWeather&prodgrp=RadarImagery&product=RadarLoop&prodnav=none

Center just east of Broward County???
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?num=4&scale=1&delay=15&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&ID=AMX&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&type=N0R&zoommode=pan

Wnghs2007 · #27 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:04 pm

Take a look at this folks. Spiny boy is there and is ready for some action.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/RAD_ ... mauto.html

x-y-no · #28 Postby **x-y-no** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:14 pm

LaBreeze wrote:Is the sheer expected to let up or continue?

Well there's less shear in the Gulf, and in that area it's forecast to decrease some as well. So once this gets out in the Gulf, there will be beter conditions for organizing.

DAVE440 · #29 Postby **DAVE440** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 3:22 pm

Heres a nice wide Atlantic IR still image showing Remnants of Ivan, Jeanne, and Karl

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ATL/sat_23.gif

#30 Postby **Hurricanehink** » Mon Sep 20, 2004 4:01 pm

Wow! It will probably be called Matthew (or Nicole if 93L develops first). This is amazing, though. If it does get upgraded, it will probably just get to 50, 55 M.P.H.

NEW INVEST 94L for low pressure near Florida

Radar of low pressure center just east of Broward???

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