I think a left shift

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mobilebay
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I think a left shift

#1 Postby mobilebay » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:43 pm

I think the 00Z models that are about to start running will shift left(west). I have been preaching this for a month now, the models are UNDER estimating the strength of these ridges. I may be wrong but I think they will shift west, IMO. We will see shortly...
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Re: I think a left shift

#2 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:45 pm

mobilebay wrote:I think the 00Z models that are about to start running will shift left(west). I have been preaching this for a month now, the models are UNDER estimating the strength of these ridges. I may be wrong but I think they will shift west, IMO. We will see shortly...


Hmmm.. yes yes. See we will... Remember Mobilebay... clouded the future of Jeanne is.
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#3 Postby Ixolib » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:47 pm

I was just wondering earlier today were you been, Mobilebay!!
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#4 Postby tronbunny » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:49 pm

You'd think they'd be able to read the ridges by now!
Geeze
:roll:
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#5 Postby Lockhart » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:52 pm

I like the right shift, myself. Let's hope for another couple of those.
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#6 Postby mobilebay » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:55 pm

Ixolib wrote:I was just wondering earlier today were you been, Mobilebay!!

Well I kinda stayed away after the beating I took for calling for a Pensacola Landfall while Ivan was in the Caribbean. Boy was I ever wrong. :lol: :lol: :lol: :wink:
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#7 Postby Ixolib » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:00 pm

mobilebay wrote:
Ixolib wrote:I was just wondering earlier today were you been, Mobilebay!!

Well I kinda stayed away after the beating I took for calling for a Pensacola Landfall while Ivan was in the Caribbean. Boy was I ever wrong. :lol: :lol: :lol: :wink:


Well... you know what they say about tropical forecasting... Sometimes 'ya get it right, sometimes 'ya don't. But in this case - WOW!! :wink: :wink:

Anyway, I for one appreciated your persistence - and insistance - on the models. Sure made it easy for me (and many others, I'm sure!!).
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#8 Postby mobilebay » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:02 pm

Ixolib wrote:
mobilebay wrote:
Ixolib wrote:I was just wondering earlier today were you been, Mobilebay!!

Well I kinda stayed away after the beating I took for calling for a Pensacola Landfall while Ivan was in the Caribbean. Boy was I ever wrong. :lol: :lol: :lol: :wink:


Well... you know what they say about tropical forecasting... Sometimes 'ya get it right, sometimes 'ya don't. But in this case - WOW!! :wink: :wink:

Anyway, I for one appreciated your persistence - and insistance - on the models. Sure made it easy for me (and many others, I'm sure!!).

Thanks.
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#9 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:03 pm

mobilebay wrote:
Ixolib wrote:
mobilebay wrote:
Ixolib wrote:I was just wondering earlier today were you been, Mobilebay!!

Well I kinda stayed away after the beating I took for calling for a Pensacola Landfall while Ivan was in the Caribbean. Boy was I ever wrong. :lol: :lol: :lol: :wink:


Well... you know what they say about tropical forecasting... Sometimes 'ya get it right, sometimes 'ya don't. But in this case - WOW!! :wink: :wink:

Anyway, I for one appreciated your persistence - and insistance - on the models. Sure made it easy for me (and many others, I'm sure!!).

Thanks.


Done well you have, young padawan MobileBay. Become a Jedi Knight at hurricane forecasting you have.

LOL.. IOW... good job. :D
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#10 Postby mobilebay » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:06 pm

yoda wrote:
mobilebay wrote:
Ixolib wrote:
mobilebay wrote:
Ixolib wrote:I was just wondering earlier today were you been, Mobilebay!!

Well I kinda stayed away after the beating I took for calling for a Pensacola Landfall while Ivan was in the Caribbean. Boy was I ever wrong. :lol: :lol: :lol: :wink:


Well... you know what they say about tropical forecasting... Sometimes 'ya get it right, sometimes 'ya don't. But in this case - WOW!! :wink: :wink:

Anyway, I for one appreciated your persistence - and insistance - on the models. Sure made it easy for me (and many others, I'm sure!!).

Thanks.

Yoda thanks.

Done well you have, young padawan MobileBay. Become a Jedi Knight at hurricane forecasting you have.

LOL.. IOW... good job. :D
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Re: I think a left shift

#11 Postby mobilebay » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:13 pm

mobilebay wrote:I think the 00Z models that are about to start running will shift left(west). I have been preaching this for a month now, the models are UNDER estimating the strength of these ridges. I may be wrong but I think they will shift west, IMO. We will see shortly...

WRONG!!! according to the 00Z GFS, and Canadian that is. If anything they have shifted right.
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Re: I think a left shift

#12 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:14 pm

mobilebay wrote:
mobilebay wrote:I think the 00Z models that are about to start running will shift left(west). I have been preaching this for a month now, the models are UNDER estimating the strength of these ridges. I may be wrong but I think they will shift west, IMO. We will see shortly...

WRONG!!! acording to the 00Z GFS, and Canadian that is. If anything they have shifted right.


Writing/talking to youself are you? Hmmm? :P :P :D
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Re: I think a left shift

#13 Postby mobilebay » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:16 pm

yoda wrote:
mobilebay wrote:
mobilebay wrote:I think the 00Z models that are about to start running will shift left(west). I have been preaching this for a month now, the models are UNDER estimating the strength of these ridges. I may be wrong but I think they will shift west, IMO. We will see shortly...

WRONG!!! acording to the 00Z GFS, and Canadian that is. If anything they have shifted right.


Writing/talking to youself are you? Hmmm? :P :P :D

Yea. I better put the smack down on myself before someone else does. :lol:
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Re: I think a left shift

#14 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:17 pm

mobilebay wrote:
yoda wrote:
mobilebay wrote:
mobilebay wrote:I think the 00Z models that are about to start running will shift left(west). I have been preaching this for a month now, the models are UNDER estimating the strength of these ridges. I may be wrong but I think they will shift west, IMO. We will see shortly...

WRONG!!! acording to the 00Z GFS, and Canadian that is. If anything they have shifted right.


Writing/talking to youself are you? Hmmm? :P :P :D

Yea. I better put the smack down on myself before someone else does. :lol:


Hmmmm... :P
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#15 Postby LakeToho » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:36 pm

UKMET and NOGAPS still show this thing coming in land.. So you are only half wrong.. GFS did not change much.. Canadian I do not follow to much..
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#16 Postby yoda » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:37 pm

LakeToho wrote:UKMET and NOGAPS still show this thing coming in land.. So you are only half wrong.. GFS did not change much.. Canadian I do not follow to much..


Well.. IMO NOGAPS is always a bit west... and UKMET isn't in yet.. I think. Is the 0z Run in yet? :D
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#17 Postby LakeToho » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:44 pm

Yep its in.. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
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#18 Postby Wolfpack » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:50 pm

I still agree.
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