Wter temperatures east of the Antillies

HUC · #1 Postby **HUC** » Fri Oct 15, 2004 7:34 pm

If you are going to the buoy 41100(i don't know how to send the link...),located near 15,5N and 57,9O,you can see that the water temperatures are extremly high(87,1°f)...This is due to the lack of the trades since a month now.
If conditions became a little more condusive next week,any disturbance developping in this zone,should have a fantastic fuel.
For me,i never heard such wter temperatures in this area,and i'am watching the weather since 1956...
Any comment?

#2 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Oct 15, 2004 8:31 pm

Global Warming? Probably but I don't have any evidence to support that. At least one ingredient remains for tropical formation, now we need lesser upper level winds and a disturbance. C'mon Otto! Maybe Otto didn't like the idea of being named after a non-tropical system, he would like to be fully tropical!

Wnghs2007 · #3 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Fri Oct 15, 2004 8:34 pm

I hope we have atleast 1 more storm this year. I predicted 18 storms but I would settle with 15

yoda · #4 Postby **yoda** » Fri Oct 15, 2004 9:05 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:I hope we have atleast 1 more storm this year. I predicted 18 storms but I would settle with 15

18? LOL!! I predicted 14/7/4 If I remember correctly...

Hmm... no Otto please.. :lol:

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 16, 2004 7:42 am

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41100

Yes pretty warm waters east of the islands as the bouy data says at link above.But the waters may be warm however the conditions to have tropical cyclogenesis are not favorable now.Next week we will see what happens if something trys to develop.

TS Zack · #6 Postby **TS Zack** » Sat Oct 16, 2004 7:49 am

Global Warming wouldn't have that big of an impact on especially SST's. Global Warming is more of an atmosphere event that then affects the surfaces causing changes.

Josephine96 · #7 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Oct 16, 2004 8:31 am

15 storms 7 canes 4 majors was my predicitons

Guest · #8 Postby **Guest** » Sat Oct 16, 2004 8:45 am

everyone blew the major prediction lol. How many have we had now.... Alex, Charley, Frances, Ivan, Jeanne and Karl. And we can also debate if Danielle was a major. Also note that every major except Karl made landfall sometime during its life. For that matter, only Danielle, Earl, Karl and Lisa haven't made landfall.

tropicana · #9 Postby **tropicana** » Sat Oct 16, 2004 9:24 am

nikolai wrote:everyone blew the major prediction lol. How many have we had now.... Alex, Charley, Frances, Ivan, Jeanne and Karl. And we can also debate if Danielle was a major. Also note that every major except Karl made landfall sometime during its life. For that matter, only Danielle, Earl, Karl and Lisa haven't made landfall.

Well Earl technically made "landfall" because it passed through the Southern Windward Islands on August 15th, albeit as a weak tropical storm with 45mph winds. In fact, its center passed pretty close to the island of Grenada, 25 miles south west of there, so it would have passed directly over the Grenadines.
-justin-

Wnghs2007 · #10 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Sat Oct 16, 2004 9:40 am

cycloneye wrote:http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41100

Yes pretty warm waters east of the islands as the bouy data says at link above.But the waters may be warm however the conditions to have tropical cyclogenesis are not favorable now.Next week we will see what happens if something trys to develop.

Very true it will be interesting to see what happens in the next few weeks and if anything can form before seasons end.

#11 Postby **tronbunny** » Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:14 pm

I think if any storms head for Florida before the season's over, folk will be shocked.
Since the front moved through, most folks have completely written it off.
It's so beautiful in Central Florida today that most have darn near forgotten about the tropics.

Wter temperatures east of the Antillies

Wter temperatures east of the Antillies

Re: Wter temperatures east of the Antillies

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