Atmosphere Finally Coming To Its Senses-----IT'S JANUARY !!!

[JETSTREAM BOB]

Adjustment in local forecast could spell------------- SNOW !!!!... AO still moving to zero--------- pattern change inevitable in the east....JSB


FXUS62 KRAH 131931
AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
219 PM EST THU JAN 13 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
STRONG COLD FRONT TO PUSH ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY
BRINGING A CONVECTIVE BAND OF SHOWERS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. BUT
DONT EXPECT WIDESPREAD CONVECTION AS INSTABILITY LACKING AND
UNFAVORABLE TIME OF DAY. CURRENTLY SEEING THUNDER DIMINISH. HOWEVER
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET(50-65KT) WILL CROSS JUST AHEAD/ALONG FRONT
WHICH COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE. MAIN THREAT FOR EVENT TO
CROSS THE CWA FROM AROUND 06Z THROUGH ABOUT 14/15Z. POTENTIAL FOR
SOME WIND GUSTS 40 TO 45 MPH. WILL ADDRESS IN SPECIAL STATEMENT. QPF
IN THE ONE HALF TO AN INCH RANGE. EXPECT STEADY OR FALLING
TEMPERATURES DURING THE AFTERNOON AS COOLER AIR FILTERS IN. DRY BUT
QUITE COLD OVER THE WEEKEND AS BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER EASTERN CONUS.
MODELS STILL INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR LOW DEVELOPING OFF THE SOUTHEAST
ATLC COAST LATE IN THE WEEKEND. WILL MONITOR.


&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
CONTINUED COLD AND DRY DURING THIS PERIOD AS COLD HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATES. START OF THE NEW WEEK QUITE COLD AS REINFORCEMENT OF COLD
AIR WITH ANOTHER COLDER SHOT MID WEEK. THUS HAVE TRENDED
TEMPERATURES COLDER DURING THIS PERIOD.