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Winter Weather Discussion

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R-Dub
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#2161 Postby R-Dub » Tue Feb 15, 2005 6:45 pm

AS OF 3:45PM

Some cold spots.........

Granite Falls, WA 33.3 °F
MY HOUSE, 37.3 F
Tacoma, WA 38.3 °F
Suquamish, WA 39.7 °F
Camano Island, WA 39.7 °F
Bothell, WA 39.8 °F more
Port Townsend, WA 40.0 °F

Some warm spots.........

Packwood, WA 50.7 °F
Seattle, WA 49.5 °F
Potlatch, WA 48.3 °F
Napavine, WA 47.6 °F
Matlock, WA 47.2 °F
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#2162 Postby W13 » Tue Feb 15, 2005 6:53 pm

R-Dub wrote:Well we hit a whopping 40.2 degrees for a high after a low of 25.8 this morning!! Already down to 37.3 degrees!!! We still have frost in all shaded areas. I really didn't think I would be seeing upper 40's today.

2/15/05 LK Goodwin WA
3:38:28 PM CURRENT
Clear
Temperature (ºF) 37.3
Humidity (%) 66.3
Wind (mph) NW 0.9
Daily Rain (") 0.00
Pressure ("Hg) 30.34
Dew Point: 28.8 ºF


Yep, we hit a mere 43 F today, and are already down to 40 F. Should be a cold one tonight. 8-)
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TT-SEA

#2163 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:28 pm

R-Dub... I said upper 40's by Wednesday. Not today. Check my post.

Brennan and W-13... I did NOT say the PNA monitor was crap. I said it was a reflection of the GFS model and its ensembles. If we can see the GFS going haywire then we know the PNA monitor will go haywire as well. They are not independent.

I had thrown out the GFS model that day and therefore had to reject the PNA monitor. I threw out the GFS model that day because it showed a wildly retrograding low pressure and 850 mb of -20C for the following week. That is now this week... and as you can see I was right to throw it out!!!!

Do you guys remember the wild scenarios the GFS was coming up with for this week??? Look at the reality. Boring high pressure and 850mb temperatures warming to +3C by the end of the week. We need to do some verification on these wild scenarios (hold the GFS accountable)... maybe that will calm you guys down when you see this crazy stuff.

I said before... there are times you can just see the GFS lose track of the pattern and it ends up like a car skidding on ice. Going to patterns that are physically impossible.


Today was B-E-A-U-T-I-F-U-L. Absolutely loved it. Crisp, clean air and sunshine. Nothing better.
Last edited by TT-SEA on Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2164 Postby snow_wizzard » Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:55 pm

Oooh Weee!!! Sea - Tac had way below normal temps today. 5 degrees below normal on the high and a whopping 11 below on the low! I love clear weather with temps like this. After a bit of warming the next couple of days things begin to drop again.

Sorry TT.
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#2165 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:58 pm

Did you just read the end of my last post????

I loved the weather today. Give me this over dreary rain any day!!

No apologizes to me.

Upper 40's to near 50 tomorrow.

Lower 50's Thursday and Friday.

System this weekend looks similar to the last two weekends. Imagine a rain/snow convergence zone will form. Then another repeat of this pattern next week.

No complaints here. It may be below normal but it still feels like spring!!
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#2166 Postby AnthonyC » Tue Feb 15, 2005 8:29 pm

Temperatures already plummeting...still one sign that winter's hanging on. Currently 38F with clear, blue skies.

I'm still interested about this wind event for the cascade foothills...latest NWS discussion doesn't mention it...let alone anything else. Whose writing these discussions lately? They stink!

Besides that, everything's on track.

Anthony
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#2167 Postby R-Dub » Tue Feb 15, 2005 8:30 pm

So I should be warmer tomarrow right? Kind of hope so, I am still cold from being out there at work all day. Can't seem to warm up, have the heat up to almost 80 in the house.........BRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!!!!!!

Kinda want spring now.
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#2168 Postby snow_wizzard » Tue Feb 15, 2005 9:06 pm

R-Dub...Don't you know that spring is already here? You should know that after reading some of the posts on here. Your being cold is a figment of your imagination. :lol:
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TT-SEA

#2169 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Feb 15, 2005 9:09 pm

R-Dub... should be around 48 degrees up there tomorrow. Most places in the Seattle area should touch 50 degrees.

Nothing but sunshine!!

Some stiff winds out there tonight... should hold temperatures up tonight.
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#2170 Postby W13 » Tue Feb 15, 2005 9:35 pm

Last night's low, TT on the East Hill of Kent was 21 F. If I remember correctly, last night I predicted 18-21 F for our low. You said I was a little overboard or something to that effect when it comes to radiational cooling...

Guess I was the one who was correct.
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#2171 Postby W13 » Tue Feb 15, 2005 9:36 pm

Currently 36 F as of 6:36 PM
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#2172 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Feb 15, 2005 10:05 pm

No... you said something about 18-21 degrees maybe even colder.

Colder than 18 degrees.... what like 14 degrees. Without snow. Without arctic air. In the Seattle metro area. In mid-February.

Not likely.
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TT-SEA

#2173 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Feb 15, 2005 10:09 pm

Wow... I see that Covington had a high of 50 degrees today after a low of 26.

Still 41 degrees there.
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#2174 Postby W13 » Tue Feb 15, 2005 10:09 pm

TT-SEA wrote:No... you said something about 18-21 degrees maybe even colder.

Colder than 18 degrees.... what like 14 degrees. Without snow. Without arctic air. In the Seattle metro area. In mid-February.

Not likely.


Noitce I included the word :maybe", which means that it is not for sure. :roll:
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#2175 Postby W13 » Tue Feb 15, 2005 10:12 pm

TT-SEA wrote:Wow... I see that Covington had a high of 50 degrees today after a low of 26.

Still 41 degrees there.


Type in 98031 in WeatherBug and click on the Millenium Elementary School Weather Station. You will see that we had a high of 43 F, after a low of 21 F. This school if only 2 miles way from me, if that much.
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#2176 Postby snow_wizzard » Tue Feb 15, 2005 10:26 pm

TT...I have this place wired with every type of thermometer and I came up with 45 - 22. I don't know where that bogus info came from.
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TT-SEA

#2177 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Feb 15, 2005 10:31 pm

That would be Covington Elementary. Which I am sure you will tell me is in some hot microclimate that makes it so much warmer!!

Actually I believe your readings as well.

But it was pretty warm in places around Covington today!! And still at 40.8 degrees there.

Those winds are going to be a force to deal with tonight. No calm air yet. Keeps the atmosphere mixed up.

Its 3 degrees warmer at Sea-Tac than last night at this time.
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#2178 Postby AnthonyC » Tue Feb 15, 2005 10:36 pm

There's a light breeze outside tonight...that's why the temperature has held steady these past two hours...still 38F.

Definitely should not be as cold as last night...we hit 26F. I'll predict a solid 32F.

Anthony
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#2179 Postby R-Dub » Tue Feb 15, 2005 10:40 pm

Currently 31.2 degrees here (outside).
Currently 82 degrees in my house and I am still shaking cold, Hope I am not coming down with something?? I have always tolerated the cold just fine.........Until now :(

My high today was 40 degrees
My Low this morning was 25 degrees
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TT-SEA

#2180 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Feb 15, 2005 10:47 pm

Classic sign of getting sick.

Today was not that cold. If it was raining and 38 degrees and you were outside all day I could see you still being cold.

But sunny and 40 degrees with light wind.

You're sick dude.
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