Latest NWS is the same theme, and the theme I am also standing by for now!! Snowwiz stated that the PNA is taking a nose dive, so I am sure there will be some sort of a pattern change, but I just don't feel its going to be the BIG change everyone is looking for. The negitive PNA looks to be short lived, it looks to go positive as soon as the 20th. Not trying to be pessimistic at all, i'm just going by what what has happened all winter. Sure the pattern has to make the big change sometime, but I just don't think its going to happen....... yet. I could see us not going back into a normal pattern until next fall.......Just a wait and see sort of a thing.
That being said, I really do hope TT, Snowwiz are right, we really need a shot of normal weather around here!!
LOVING this bright sunny weather though right now!!!
You know most of us would be saying "When it this rain/drizzle/fog going to finally end and a little sun to peak through to dry up this saturated ground" during a normal winter. So everyone enjoy that bright thing in the sky, because next winter will be a totally different story!!
TT might experience one of those "real winters" that we used to have around here complete with wind storms/snow storms/ and TONS of rain
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 147 PM PST SUN MAR 13 2005
DISCUSSION... THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN JUST OFF THE COAST THRU MON. THEN SOME RETROGRESSION OF THE LONG WAVE FEATURES WILL ALLOW A SHORT WAVE TROF TO APPROACH THE REGION FROM CANADA ON TUE. IT APPEARS THAT THE BULK OF THE ENERGY WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL END UP E OF THE CWA. AS STATED IN THE MORNING DISCUSSION...THE LATEST GFS AND NAM WERE SLOWER WITH THE SHORT WAVE TROF...THEREFORE HAVE DELAYED PRECIP THREAT TO TUE NIGHT. IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIP WILL BE FROM THE INTERIOR...OR E OF THE OLYMPICS...EWD. THIS SYSTEM WILL THEN QUICKLY EXIT THE REGION ON WED AS DRIER NLY FLOW ALOFT ONCE AGAIN BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE PAC NW.
BEYOND WED...THE FORECAST BECOMES LESS CLEAR. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY INVOLVED...PREFER TO LEAN TOWARD PERSISTENCE OR WITH THE IDEA OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS REMAINING JUST OFFSHORE AND A MEAN TROF OVER THE ROCKIES/PLAINS STATES. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST SHOT OF PRECIP WILL BE THIS WEEKEND AND THUS HAVE WORDED THE UPCOMING FORECAST ACCORDINGLY.