A note on the Vipir model for Dennis...

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Steve
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A note on the Vipir model for Dennis...

#1 Postby Steve » Wed Jul 06, 2005 6:16 pm

I didn't catch the Fox 8 Newscast at 5 so I can only go by what my boy Rich said on saintsreport. He's pretty trustworthy so I'm sure what he described was what he saw even though I don't completely agree that the Vipir "nailed" both of the storms in question (probably Arlene and Cindy). Vipir was fairly good on Cindy but that was from 2 1/2 days out. This one has a much longer timeframe.

I have to say that Bob Breck and his new VIPIR tracking system have been dead-on for the 1st two small storms this year, and it just showed it going in west of New Orleans, looked like about Port Fourchon-Intracoastal City to me. It is early though.

And no, I'm not posting this because I live east of landfall. I'm just putting it out there. Additionally, Fox 8 sometimes runs other models on their newscast stating "one of the models does this..." and shows the run in motion. Again, I didn't see it but I'm sure someone could verify this.

Steve

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#2 Postby skywarn » Wed Jul 06, 2005 6:27 pm

I seen Bob Breck on Fox 8 5:00 news. The Viper model which did good on both Arlene,Bret & Cindy this year and Ivan last year brings Hurricane Dennis inland just west of New Orleans. He also mentioned that he has a friend that works at the NHC and was told that Dennis could be a Cat. 4 by the time he makes landfall.
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#3 Postby Stratusxpeye » Wed Jul 06, 2005 6:28 pm

Im guessing boarderline cat 3 or 4 in that area. I dunno about west of no but well just have to see. Who knows.
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#4 Postby skywarn » Wed Jul 06, 2005 6:31 pm

Landfall just west of New Orleans would be Grand Isle then Northwestward.Similar to a Betsy track.
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#5 Postby cajungal » Wed Jul 06, 2005 6:38 pm

And even though, I was not born yet, for Betsy, my mom said we got winds over 130 mph here. Wouldn't be ironic if New Orleans gets the big one right before Betsy's 40 year anniversary this year? That was my scary prediction that I hope does not verify.
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#6 Postby skywarn » Wed Jul 06, 2005 6:40 pm

cajungal wrote:And even though, I was not born yet, for Betsy, my mom said we got winds over 130 mph here. Wouldn't be ironic if New Orleans gets the big one right before Betsy's 40 year anniversary this year? That was my scary prediction that I hope does not verify.


Could be an anniversary present from the tropics.
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