Jb

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feederband
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Jb

#1 Postby feederband » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:56 pm

Just on Fox he says nothing new..
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gkrangers

#2 Postby gkrangers » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:57 pm

lol, then was this thread really necessary?
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#3 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:58 pm

Where does he think Dennis is going?
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#4 Postby Johnny » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:59 pm

Mouth of the Mississippi if I'm not mistaken. He's very concerned about New Orleans.
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#5 Postby cajungal » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:00 pm

I can't really listen what JB says. Because I am not about to waste my money on paying for the info. But, read it on Channel 4 forums New Orleans. He is still sticking to his guns with a landfall just west of New Orleans like Betsy.
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#6 Postby Mattie » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:00 pm

Here is the discussion from this morning



http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=66549
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#7 Postby feederband » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:00 pm

Stormcenter wrote:Where does he think Dennis is going?


He drew a line to La but then pointed to PCB and said stay tuned... :roll:

I was hoping he would of been more detailed...
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#8 Postby sunny » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:01 pm

Johnny wrote:Mouth of the Mississippi if I'm not mistaken. He's very concerned about New Orleans.


If it comes up the mouth of the river, we can kiss New Orleans good-bye.
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well

#9 Postby bevgo » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:05 pm

If we kiss NO goodbye--I may not have to sell my house after all. It may not be there and I can just collect insurance $$. Seriously. I don't want that. My son lives there and he would lose everything and be in major danger
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#10 Postby sunny » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:10 pm

bevgo, the truth of the matter is if it DOES come up the mouth of the river, this city will flood and we will not be able to get back here for literally months. The water has to be pumped out. We flood, the pumps go under.
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#11 Postby bfez1 » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:16 pm

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Steve
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#12 Postby Steve » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:19 pm

>>bevgo, the truth of the matter is if it DOES come up the mouth of the river, this city will flood and we will not be able to get back here for literally months. The water has to be pumped out. We flood, the pumps go under.

The mouth of the river scenario is a wive's tale. No storm would ever exactly follow that pattern (or at least probably not because storms do what they want). The real threat comes from a lower Plaquemines or St. Bernard hit with a storm passing SOUTH of the city of New Orleans. All would be bad (direct hit wise), but the flooding potential from an eastern hit, southern track heading WNW is the disaster scenario.

Steve
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#13 Postby sunny » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:22 pm

Steve wrote:>>bevgo, the truth of the matter is if it DOES come up the mouth of the river, this city will flood and we will not be able to get back here for literally months. The water has to be pumped out. We flood, the pumps go under.

The mouth of the river scenario is a wive's tale. No storm would ever exactly follow that pattern (or at least probably not because storms do what they want). The real threat comes from a lower Plaquemines or St. Bernard hit with a storm passing SOUTH of the city of New Orleans. All would be bad (direct hit wise), but the flooding potential from an eastern hit, southern track heading WNW is the disaster scenario.

Steve


Really? Wow, they have been tauting "the mouth of the river" scenario for as long as I can remember. Nice to know it's not true.
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#14 Postby Steve » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:29 pm

So was I sunny until a couple of years ago. Breck mentioned the WNW moving storm passing south of the city as has JB (ala the 1947 storm he's always talking about as the doomsday storm). But the "storm coming up the mouth of the river" scenario is part of New Orleans folklore. If you ever get anyone to elaborate they'll tell you that storm even empties the river into the city and westbank. But in reality, what happens in a WNW moving storm coming in south of the city, the Gulf empties into Lake Borgne which then empties into Lake Pontchartrain (bad enough for St. Charles Parish there where the levees are lower). North winds with the eye passing south of the city empties the lake into the City with nowhere for it to go.

That's the real setback. Now for the mouth-of-the-river scenario, it would depend on the strength, heading and size as to what would happen to the City. In some cases, a storm coming in NW and bisecting town would wreak its own types of havoc. But it's not the master disaster scenario that the other one is.

Steve
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I know

#15 Postby bevgo » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:45 pm

I am aware of the flooding danger in NO. I lived there for 17 years. God help anyone in NO an surrounding areas if the doomsday scenario ever does come to fruition. My son is staying on the riverboad casino he works on and I cannot talk him out of it. I cna only hope everything is oK
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#16 Postby Downdraft » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:55 pm

feederband wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:Where does he think Dennis is going?


He drew a line to La but then pointed to PCB and said stay tuned... :roll:

I was hoping he would of been more detailed...


JB is never detailed that's how he makes his money. Toss out all the scenarios then say your were right. People just don't see it. :(
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