Question for GOMERS

[JenBayles]

If all the planets and stars come into alignment it looks like Emily will be in the Gulf in a few days. I know I'm thinking about what I need to do to batten down the hatches just in case. Anyone else at least thinking about starting preps over the weekend yet? Just curious.

[Roxy]

Yes we are. I am going to wait and see what they think she will do once she gets past/over the yucatan....then I'm off to get supplies. Even if we don't get her, it'll be good to have these things on hand since we always talk about preparing but never do.

But with the shift to the right and mentions of the ridge not being as strong, I think it's best to be prepared.

[JenBayles]

We're in good shape as far as non-perishables, potable water, flashlights, batteries and radios go, but it takes quite a while to put away everything we have outside. My back's already hurting just thinking about hauling everything in and back out again, but whaddaya do? <sigh>

[Roxy]

We're in good shape as far as non-perishables, potable water, flashlights, batteries and radios go, but it takes quite a while to put away everything we have outside. My back's already hurting just thinking about hauling everything in and back out again, but whaddaya do? <sigh>

Haha, we don't even have batteries. Or water, or anything for that matter. And don't get me started on all the plants I'd have to bring in...some in 10 gallon pots!

[Anonymous]

Yes as the days and nights go by I am at least starting to ponder the idea of preparation.

[JenBayles]

I hear ya Roxy - it's the plants that are going to kick me. I've got several in 50 gallon clay pots. May have to sacrifice my vehicle to the elements to save the plumerias.

[BayouVenteux]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.



Looking at the general direction of the TPC's cone, if I lived from the Houston/Galveston area on south, and particularly Corpus on south to Tampico, Mexico, I'd make sure I have the seasonal preparations that common sense says you should have already done, and simply keep checking on the progress of "Emily" over the next couple days. We'll have a much clearer idea of the eventual track the storm will take in another 48-72 hours, once it's into the western Caribbean and wx recon starts sampling the ridge in the vicinity.

General model and NWS office consensus seems to be that the subtropical high will be expanding westward to block "Emily" and send her searching for a Margarita, and unfortunately a Mudslide or two as well if she takes a "Gilbert"-style path.

So, I'd get my hurricane kit together if you haven't already. Because if it's not Emily...it's only the second week of July and there may be a few more -type moments down the road as we head toward the August-September heart of the season.

[Roxy]

I hear ya Roxy - it's the plants that are going to kick me. I've got several in 50 gallon clay pots. May have to sacrifice my vehicle to the elements to save the plumerias.

Sooo jealous of your plumerias, I want some!!

[BayouVenteux]

I hear ya Roxy - it's the plants that are going to kick me. I've got several in 50 gallon clay pots. May have to sacrifice my vehicle to the elements to save the plumerias.

The cool thing about plumerias is that if they do break ( I had a mature one fall over in a bad t-storm back in early June), you can just stick those branches in a good dirt/sand mix and in a month or two you get established baby plumerias!

[JenBayles]

Very true Bayou. Anyone in a hurricane prone area should already have basic "camping" supplies on hand. Unfortunately, as stated on another thread the other day, the Hou/Gal area hasn't been nailed by a big storm since Alicia in 1983 (is that right? 83?) - anyway, over 20 years. There's so many new people here who are clueless and honestly don't want to be educated. I work with many Europeans and they have no idea how destructive these storms can be.

[Anonymous]

NOT A FORECAST- JUST A NOVICE TAKE: Looking at the general direction of the TPC's cone, if I lived from the Houston/Galveston area on south, and particularly Corpus on south to Tampico, Mexico, I'd make sure I have the seasonal preparations that common sense says you should have already done, and simply keep checking on the progress of "Emily" over the next couple days. We'll have a much clearer idea of the eventual track the storm will take in another 48-72 hours, once it's into the western Caribbean and wx recon starts sampling the ridge in the vicinity.

General model and NWS office consensus seems to be that the subtropical high will be expanding westward to block "Emily" and send her searching for a Margarita, and unfortunately a Mudslide or two as well if she takes a "Gilbert"-style path.

So, I'd get my hurricane kit together if you haven't already. Because if it's not Emily...it's only the second week of July and there may be a few more -type moments down the road as we head toward the August-September heart of the season.

Thanks that is a good reminder for all!

[JenBayles]

Absolutely! Plumerias are so easy to propogate. I've spread them all over the neighborhood along with a ton of night blooming jasmine. We have the best smelling cul-de-sac in Houston.

[tracyswfla]

I hear ya Roxy - it's the plants that are going to kick me. I've got several in 50 gallon clay pots. May have to sacrifice my vehicle to the elements to save the plumerias.

WOW another plumie fanatic!!! Me too... Actually I have my first bloom right now. I have been trying for over a year. If your plumeria's need shelter, send em to Ft. Myers! I promise to take good care of them!

[jasons2k]

I'm keeping a close eye on Emily, but I'm not ready to bump Home Depot's stock up a dollar just yet.

My best friend is also relocating from DFW to Galveston and he closes on his house this week and is moving in SUNDAY. Monday they leave for vacation for a week - so I'm definately keeping a watch out for him.

[BayouVenteux]

My best friend is also relocating from DFW to Galveston and he closes on his house this week and is moving in SUNDAY. Monday they leave for vacation for a week - so I'm definately keeping a watch out for him.

Hmmm. He's likely got about 72 hours to get that new homeowners insurance policy wrapped up if he hasn't already.
Typically, the majors will cut off new policy writes when a storm enters the GoM.

[jasons2k]

My best friend is also relocating from DFW to Galveston and he closes on his house this week and is moving in SUNDAY. Monday they leave for vacation for a week - so I'm definately keeping a watch out for him.

Hmmm. He's likely got about 72 hours to get that new homeowners insurance policy wrapped up if he hasn't already.
Typically, the majors will cut off new policy writes when a storm enters the GoM.

If that's the case, he won't be able to close either.

I used to work for Mercedes Homes and last year Florida just about killed them b/c they could not execute any closings for several weeks. And guess who foots the bill while the house stays on their books........

[Rainband]

My best friend is also relocating from DFW to Galveston and he closes on his house this week and is moving in SUNDAY. Monday they leave for vacation for a week - so I'm definately keeping a watch out for him.

Hmmm. He's likely got about 72 hours to get that new homeowners insurance policy wrapped up if he hasn't already.
Typically, the majors will cut off new policy writes when a storm enters the GoM.

Actually it has nothing to do with the GOM. It's called "The Box" It's an outlined area where hurricanes enter. I believe it includes most of the Caribbean

[dwg71]

My best friend is also relocating from DFW to Galveston and he closes on his house this week and is moving in SUNDAY. Monday they leave for vacation for a week - so I'm definately keeping a watch out for him.

Hmmm. He's likely got about 72 hours to get that new homeowners insurance policy wrapped up if he hasn't already.
Typically, the majors will cut off new policy writes when a storm enters the GoM.

Actually it has nothing to do with the GOM. It's called "The Box" It's an outlined area where hurricanes enter. I believe it includes most of the Caribbean

The one used in Texas extends from Mexico along 20N to 80W and then North to 30N.

[Rainband]

Thought it was nationwide. Thanks

[stormie_skies]

Right....I am pretty sure the insurance companies use a different box for each state....I know for a fact that we have been closing homes all through July, and that wouldn't be possible if our hurricane box extended all the way into the mid-Carribean.

That said, though ..... your friend should certainly be in close contact with his agent as the closing date approaches and someone should contact the insurance company to find out what standard they are using and the likelihood of a storm delay....