Yet another for the western Pacific

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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Yet another for the western Pacific

#1 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 28, 2005 3:43 pm

While we are waiting!!!

WTPN31 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/281721ZJUL2005//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 18.9N 113.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N 113.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 19.3N 111.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 19.6N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 20.1N 109.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.8N 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 22.0N 105.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 19.0N 112.7E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 08W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS AN
INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. THIS
WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 281721ZJUL2005
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 281730). MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.//
NNNN
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#2 Postby senorpepr » Thu Jul 28, 2005 4:47 pm

...JTWC is not expecting this system to develop much further, due to land. Looks like a rain maker for southern China and northern Vietnam.

Image

JMA has not warned on this system yet...
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#3 Postby Hurricanehink » Thu Jul 28, 2005 9:27 pm

Dang! They stole the lead. Maybe we can tie it.

(Just a thought, wow, we were keeping pace with the WPAC, pretty impressive).
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#4 Postby Andrew92 » Thu Jul 28, 2005 9:29 pm

Washi is the next name out there.

-Andrew92
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#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 28, 2005 9:30 pm

470
wtpn31 pgtw 290300
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Tropical depression 08w warning nr 002
01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac
Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
---
warning position:
290000z --- near 18.3n 112.2e
movement past six hours - 245 degrees at 09 kts
position accurate to within 060 nm
position based on center located by satellite
present wind distribution:
Max sustained winds - 030 kt, gusts 040 kt
repeat posit: 18.3n 112.2e
---
forecasts:
12 hrs, valid at:
291200z --- 18.2n 110.8e
Max sustained winds - 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
vector to 24 hr posit: 285 deg/ 06 kts
---
24 hrs, valid at:
300000z --- 18.5n 109.5e
Max sustained winds - 030 kt, gusts 040 kt
vector to 36 hr posit: 290 deg/ 08 kts
---
36 hrs, valid at:
301200z --- 19.1n 107.9e
Max sustained winds - 030 kt, gusts 040 kt
vector to 48 hr posit: 290 deg/ 08 kts
---
extended outlook:
48 hrs, valid at:
310000z --- 19.6n 106.4e
Max sustained winds - 030 kt, gusts 040 kt
vector to 72 hr posit: 285 deg/ 07 kts
---
72 hrs, valid at:
010000z --- 20.4n 103.4e
Max sustained winds - 025 kt, gusts 035 kt
dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over land
---
remarks:
290300z position near 18.3n 111.9e.
Tropical depression (td) 08w, located approximately 260 nm south-
southwest of Hong Kong, has tracked west-southwestward at 09 knots
over the past 06 hours. Recent animated multispectral imagery
reveals a partially exposed low level circulation center and
enhanced infrared imagery shows an increase in deep convection
along the western semicircle. Due to recent visible imagery, the
position of TD 08w has been adjusted slightly equatorward. Maximum
significant wave height at 290000z is 10 feet. Next warnings at
290900z, 291500z, 292100z and 300300z.//
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 28, 2005 9:31 pm

Image

"WASHI" will be the next name. The name was provided by Japan.
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#7 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 29, 2005 2:13 am

29/0225 UTC 18.0N 111.8E T2.5/2.5 08W -- West Pacific Ocean
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#8 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:57 am

WTPN31 PGTW 290900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 18.5N 112.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N 112.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 19.1N 111.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 19.8N 110.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 20.3N 108.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 20.9N 106.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 21.8N 102.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
290900Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 111.8E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 08W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM EAST OF
HAINAN, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z.//

NNNN
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#9 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:23 pm

WTPN31 PGTW 291500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 004
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 18.4N 111.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N 111.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 18.7N 110.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 19.3N 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 19.9N 107.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 20.5N 106.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 21.4N 103.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 18.5N 111.4E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST OF HAINAN,
CHINA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAX-
IMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z.//

NNNN
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#10 Postby WindRunner » Sat Jul 30, 2005 8:36 am

Hurricanehink wrote:Dang! They stole the lead. Maybe we can tie it.

(Just a thought, wow, we were keeping pace with the WPAC, pretty impressive).


My thoughts exactly!
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