aspen wrote:With 97L fading, that’s two model-hyped MDR storms that never verified. Maybe third time’s the charm and we’ll get one next week?
We’re running behind every season of the post-2015 active phase so far. Even 2018 and 2019 had at least one hurricane by now, although 2018 had a nearly dead August until Florence formed at the very end.
What is the post-2015 active phase? Something you made up? Or is it something that NOAA has been talking about? I can't find anything on a post 2015 active phase. But if there is content do please link me to it!
To me, a period like this is a blip. An eyeblink. It means nothing in regards to climatology. It seems like this is like a horse race the way you describe it. The tropics don't work like that. Even if they did for a few years in a row.