#49 Postby Frank2 » Wed Oct 25, 2017 3:32 pm
Latest discussion (past 20 minutes). Miami NWSFO only emphasizing moisture, not models that indicate TC development, probably due to shear (after coordinating with NHC forecaster):
By Saturday, models are showing an area of tropical moisture
moving up from the south, bringing the next chance for showers and
thunderstorms. Both the GFS and the ECMWF are indicating heavy
rainfall accumulations are possible, with area averages of 3 to 4
inches possible, and localized areas possibly seeing higher
totals. This will not be around long, as the next cold front is
forecast to move through on Sunday, causing the tropical moisture
to be pushed out by Sunday late afternoon or evening. This air
mass is not forecast to be quite as cool, but will still bring
lows back down into the 50`s and 60`s by Tuesday morning. Dew
points are also forecast to drop back down into the 40`s and 50`s
for Monday.
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