chaser1 wrote:JetFuel_SE wrote:chaser1 wrote:Interestingly, there's only 24 hr.'s left for the 2023 North Atlantic Season Poll and it just seems that this year's poll having the lowest participation that I remember, suggests that a vast number of people are primarily disinterested in the 2023 season likely as a result of their severe "El Nino - Season Cancel bias".
And then we have UKMO model, which seemingly got the Atlantic and EPAC mixed up. 306 ACE ceiling lmao
Well, yeah..... and then you have "that" Go figure LOL. King Kong (El Nino) vs Godzilla (+AMO) - the battle of the titans. Quite reasonably the outcome may be less of a definative "win" for either atmospheric variable, and more of quirky twist as a result of both variables (such as 20 really weak named storms, with an average life span of under 72 hours, or the Bahamas becoming this year's MDR with nearly all storm tracks off to the East & Northeast. Maybe 2023 will ultimately be more like "The Spawn of King Kong & Godzilla"
And then you have Mechagodzilla come in as some unforeseen variable (maybe like mid-level dry air or something like that, idk) and throw a wrench into both the EPAC and Atlantic, making them less active than ever anticipated.
Ok but seriously, I think this year is going to be very interesting to watch. I personally don't think it will behave like Nino years we think of (2002, 2006, 2009, etc.), but who knows. I'm not a clairvoyant.