ATL: IDALIA - Models

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chris_fit
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#721 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:05 pm

NO major changes so far in the HAFS...

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#722 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:06 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#723 Postby Stratton23 » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:06 pm

That GFS run would be so interesting, very rare to get a storm to take that kind of a track
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#724 Postby LandoWill » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:06 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#725 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:11 pm

HAFS-A a little north but just returning to the location it was 2 runs ago.

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#726 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:13 pm

HWRF misses Cuba this run.

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#727 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:14 pm

HWRF Trend... Slower and weaker.

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#728 Postby Kohlecane » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:18 pm


Just a casual 20mb difference :spam:
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#729 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:18 pm

HAFS-A hit a roadblock at 66 hours... abruptly heads back south at hour 69.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#730 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:19 pm

HMON the same roughly...

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#731 Postby SunnyThoughts » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:20 pm

Kohlecane wrote:

Just a casual 20mb difference :spam:


928mb? Seriously? I hope that isn't a indication of strengthening even more out of these models. Geeze
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#732 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:25 pm

HWRF

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#733 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:27 pm

All I gotta say is, as a resident just south of Tampa. I'm grateful for these model trends.

The only thing concerning me at the moment is what she's actually doing... wobbling to the right it seems. Already right of the track and most models....

Red circle is where HH found the center just a few moments ago.

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#734 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:32 pm

HWRF a little east of last run. Most models just oscillating back and forth run to run.

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#735 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:34 pm

UK is done but graphics still updating. West of previous run so far.

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#736 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:45 pm

Could someone please post a link to where I can see/get the global and hurricane models? Maybe that big spaghetti plot with all the pastas too? lol.
I just got a new issued work computer literally this morning and have to reinstate all of my old bookmarks. Great timing!
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#737 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:47 pm

TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:Could someone please post a link to where I can see/get the global and hurricane models? Maybe that big spaghetti plot with all the pastas too? lol.
I just got a new issued work computer literally this morning and have to reinstate all of my old bookmarks. Great timing!


https://spaghettimodels.com/
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#738 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:47 pm

TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:Could someone please post a link to where I can see/get the global and hurricane models? Maybe that big spaghetti plot with all the pastas too? lol.
I just got a new issued work computer literally this morning and have to reinstate all of my old bookmarks. Great timing!



https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/

https://www.weathernerds.org/home.html

https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/hurricane-model-plots
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#739 Postby SunnyThoughts » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:48 pm

TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:Could someone please post a link to where I can see/get the global and hurricane models? Maybe that big spaghetti plot with all the pastas too? lol.
I just got a new issued work computer literally this morning and have to reinstate all of my old bookmarks. Great timing!


https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/


Up top under forecast models.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#740 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 28, 2023 12:50 pm

12Z EURO about to roll...

I full expect it to go way right and mess with everyone since all the other models pretty much went left or stayed in the same vicinity :spam:


Just kidding, hoping for some reinforcement of this storm staying 100+ miles off-shore of Tampa area.
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