ATL: ELEVEN - Models

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cycloneye
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ATL: ELEVEN - Models

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 21, 2022 11:19 am

Only model runs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#2 Postby CyclonicFury » Wed Sep 21, 2022 11:40 am

Pretty favorable upper-level environment. Dry air a problem though.
* GFS version *
* ATLANTIC 2021 SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST *
* IR SAT DATA AVAILABLE, OHC AVAILABLE *
* INVEST AL992022 09/21/22 12 UTC *

TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168
V (KT) NO LAND 20 22 23 25 27 32 41 50 58 63 68 74 81 88 92 97 100
V (KT) LAND 20 22 23 25 27 32 41 50 58 63 68 74 81 88 92 97 100
V (KT) LGEM 20 21 21 22 23 25 28 32 37 42 46 51 56 61 N/A N/A N/A
Storm Type TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP N/A N/A N/A

SHEAR (KT) 5 7 8 8 11 9 10 9 12 9 10 3 4 2 N/A N/A N/A
SHEAR ADJ (KT) -1 0 0 -1 -3 0 3 4 4 4 4 5 -1 -1 N/A N/A N/A
SHEAR DIR 100 116 104 87 93 107 98 69 75 86 92 85 315 312 N/A N/A N/A
SST (C) 27.9 28.0 28.1 28.2 28.3 28.5 28.6 28.7 28.7 28.7 28.6 28.6 28.7 28.7 N/A N/A N/A
POT. INT. (KT) 133 135 136 138 139 142 142 143 143 142 141 141 142 142 N/A N/A N/A
ADJ. POT. INT. 127 129 131 133 135 136 135 135 133 133 130 130 131 133 N/A N/A N/A
200 MB T (C) -54.2 -54.0 -54.1 -54.2 -54.1 -54.4 -54.7 -54.7 -54.7 -54.4 -54.6 -54.5 -54.8 -54.6 N/A N/A N/A
200 MB VXT (C) -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 N/A N/A N/A
TH_E DEV (C) 5 6 6 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 7 7 7 7 N/A N/A N/A
700-500 MB RH 51 53 53 53 49 49 49 51 50 50 48 52 55 56 N/A N/A N/A
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.


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