maybe i am confused but the big blob of deep convection is not the actual system they are talking about right? Its the smaller system closer to the cape verde islands.The reason i think this is that in the TWD they never mention any kind of wave at 30W only at 20-21W so maybe the first blob leading the train isn't the one they are watching?
Am i wrong in reading it this way?
Tropical Wave in Eastern Atlantic.......
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145276
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
ncdowneast wrote:maybe i am confused but the big blob of deep convection is not the actual system they are talking about right? Its the smaller system closer to the cape verde islands.The reason i think this is that in the TWD they never mention any kind of wave at 30W only at 20-21W so maybe the first blob leading the train isn't the one they are watching?
Am i wrong in reading it this way?
They say it is 550 miles SW of the Cape Verde islands,meaning it's the area below 10n and 31w.At the 2 Pm discussion the anaylisis was that it was part of the ITCZ.Expect at the 8 PM one to add another wave to the surface analyisis.There is a wave east of this area around 22w,which is South of the CV islands.
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu Jul 27, 2006 5:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
maybe i am confused but the big blob of deep convection is not the actual system they are talking about right? Its the smaller system closer to the cape verde islands.The reason i think this is that in the TWD they never mention any kind of wave at 30W only at 20-21W so maybe the first blob leading the train isn't the one they are watching?
Am i wrong in reading it this way?
I'm pretty sure the big blob is where the low is located, since the convection near 20-21W isn't so strong.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
That TWO does get my attention somewhat. It's not impossible that this will become a TD soon so we have to keep watching. It's not a bad looking system.
If this wave continues organizing at this rate, it should be a invest tomorrow morning. I don't know what the requirements are for invests so I can't tell for sure.
If this wave continues organizing at this rate, it should be a invest tomorrow morning. I don't know what the requirements are for invests so I can't tell for sure.
0 likes
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
Cyclenall wrote:That TWO does get my attention somewhat. It's not impossible that this will become a TD soon so we have to keep watching. It's not a bad looking system.
If this wave continues organizing at this rate, it should be a invest tomorrow morning. I don't know what the requirements are for invests so I can't tell for sure.
If it continues to organize at this rate it might be a Invest tonight and a possible TC tomorrow.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
ThunderMate
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 215
- Joined: Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:18 am
- Location: Virginia Beach, Virginia
- Contact:
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
Who wants it to be a threat to anyone?
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145276
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
ThunderMate wrote:Well it does seem to have some latitude to gain to become a threat in the future to anyone in the US
Dont forget that there are many islands in the arc of the Lesser Antilles.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
Yeah, buut the islands are really small, do they really have an affect on TCs?
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9476
- Age: 34
- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
- Contact:
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
Oh okay 
. Looking at SAT it seems like 98L has been ressurected in the E Atlantic.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg
. Looking at SAT it seems like 98L has been ressurected in the E Atlantic.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
whereverwx
- Category 5
- Posts: 1109
- Joined: Mon May 31, 2004 10:15 pm
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145276
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Yeah, buut the islands are really small, do they really have an affect on TCs?
But consider that many people live in the islands that may be affected by a strong cyclone,and there haved been numerous landfalling storms and hurricanes that haved caused great tragic consequenses including here in Puerto Rico.
0 likes
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
Oh so its the other way around. Instead of the islands having an affect on the TC, the TC has an affect on the islands. I get you now.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Grease Monkey
- Category 2
- Posts: 727
- Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:25 pm
