ATL: HERMINE - Models
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ATL: HERMINE - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
12z Tropical Models
Code: Select all
238
WHXX01 KWBC 051229
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1229 UTC SUN SEP 5 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902010) 20100905 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100905 1200 100906 0000 100906 1200 100907 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 19.4N 95.6W 20.3N 96.1W 21.4N 96.9W 22.7N 97.6W
BAMD 19.4N 95.6W 19.9N 96.3W 20.3N 97.0W 20.9N 97.8W
BAMM 19.4N 95.6W 20.2N 96.0W 20.8N 96.7W 21.7N 97.5W
LBAR 19.4N 95.6W 19.9N 96.1W 20.8N 97.1W 22.1N 98.5W
SHIP 25KTS 34KTS 42KTS 51KTS
DSHP 25KTS 34KTS 42KTS 41KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100907 1200 100908 1200 100909 1200 100910 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 24.2N 98.9W 27.5N 102.1W 31.9N 103.2W 38.0N 98.9W
BAMD 21.6N 99.0W 23.4N 101.8W 25.6N 103.9W 28.5N 104.1W
BAMM 22.8N 98.6W 25.3N 101.3W 28.6N 103.0W 33.2N 101.0W
LBAR 23.8N 99.9W 28.7N 101.9W 35.2N 99.5W 39.6N 89.3W
SHIP 60KTS 73KTS 77KTS 71KTS
DSHP 34KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 19.4N LONCUR = 95.6W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 2KT
LATM12 = 18.9N LONM12 = 95.6W DIRM12 = 360DEG SPDM12 = 2KT
LATM24 = 18.6N LONM24 = 95.7W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 160NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
12Z GFS suggests a low (maybe TD) moving NNW near the Coast to Tampico through 48 hours.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
does anyone think that the faster this develops more north it will go?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
redfish1 wrote:does anyone think that the faster this develops more north it will go?
IMO No. I think It goes to Mexico as a weak storm. Not to bad accept for the rain
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression TEN - Models
00z gfs looks a little more north than its previous runs with a landfall into the tex/mex border right around brownsville/south padre island. could give texas even more rain.
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