ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 20/2309 UTC 2012 UTC.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD06F [1004HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 15.0S 180.0 AT
202100 UTC. SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR/VIS AND
PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 28-29C.
CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTANT NEAR THE SYSTEM OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
ORGANISTATION HAS NOT IMPROVED MUCH IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION EXTENDS TO 500 HPA. TD06F LIES ALONG THE SPCZ, UNDER 250
HPA RIDGE AND EAST OF UPPER TROUGH IN A LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT.
MOST MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND SLOWLY MOVE IT SOUTHEAST WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.
POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN
THE AREA.
![Image](http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc12/SHEM/96P.INVEST/ir/geo/1km/20120121.0152.goes15.x.ir1km.96PINVEST.15kts-1010mb-139S-1781W.75pc.jpg)