93S INVEST
As of 06:00 UTC Apr 17, 2018:
Location: 7.2°S 59.1°E
Maximum Winds: 15 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1009 mb
GFS
https://imgur.com/CUpFUTx
https://imgur.com/WOIdDUT
https://imgur.com/g1JdI0U
https://imgur.com/isPJZzG
sst https://imgur.com/ejX0jf2
SIO 93S INVEST
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Re: SIO 93S INVEST
93S INVEST 180422 0000 9.7S 51.3E SHEM 25 1005
https://imgur.com/Xu0XYDH
https://imgur.com/3HI3Yab
18z hwrf had a weakening hurricane on approach to the island.
https://imgur.com/Xu0XYDH
https://imgur.com/3HI3Yab
18z hwrf had a weakening hurricane on approach to the island.
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Re: SIO 93S INVEST
ABIO10 PGTW 211800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/211800Z-221800ZAPR2018//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 7.9S 53.1E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1S 51.9E, APPROXIMATELY 805
NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LA REUNION. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 211509Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH THE MAJORITY
OF THE CONVECTION LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE (15-
20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR POLEWARD OUTFLOW. WARM SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C) ARE SUPPORTIVE OF FUTURE DEVELOPMENT.
GLOBAL PREDICTION MODELS ARE INDECISIVE ON WHETHER THE SYSTEM WILL
INTENSIFY TO TROPICAL CYCLONE STRENGTH, BUT GENERALLY AGREE THAT THE
SYSTEM PASSES NEAR THE EASTERN COASTLINE OF MADAGASCAR AS IT
TRANSITS ALONG A SOUTHERN TRAJECTORY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/211800Z-221800ZAPR2018//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 7.9S 53.1E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1S 51.9E, APPROXIMATELY 805
NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LA REUNION. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 211509Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH THE MAJORITY
OF THE CONVECTION LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE (15-
20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR POLEWARD OUTFLOW. WARM SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C) ARE SUPPORTIVE OF FUTURE DEVELOPMENT.
GLOBAL PREDICTION MODELS ARE INDECISIVE ON WHETHER THE SYSTEM WILL
INTENSIFY TO TROPICAL CYCLONE STRENGTH, BUT GENERALLY AGREE THAT THE
SYSTEM PASSES NEAR THE EASTERN COASTLINE OF MADAGASCAR AS IT
TRANSITS ALONG A SOUTHERN TRAJECTORY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.
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Re: SIO 93S INVEST
ELIAKIM or FAKIR depending on what current swio storm is first to be named.
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Re: SIO 93S INVEST
00Z hwrf slams into reunion with max intensity that could be up-to a borderline cat3.
https://i.imgur.com/uqPbjoE.png
https://i.imgur.com/uqPbjoE.png
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- 1900hurricane
- Category 5
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Re: SIO 93S INVEST
Eliakim has already been used.
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
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Opinions expressed are mine alone.
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- 1900hurricane
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Severe Tropical Storm Fakir
Now named Fakir, and the microwave eye suggests that it may be slightly underestimated at the moment.
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
- 1900hurricane
- Category 5
- Posts: 6044
- Age: 33
- Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
- Location: Houston, TX
- Contact:
Re: Severe Tropical Storm Fakir
This was classified as Severe Tropical Storm Fakir, but the thread title never was updated.
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
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